Saturday, June 01, 2019

Villanova 2018 Nudges Louisville 2013 to Start 2-0 in Simulation; Syracuse 2003 Leads ACC

Carmelo Anthony (22 ppg) led Syracuse 2003 to a buzzer beater win over Duke and 1st place in my simulated "ACC" replay but Villanova's 2018 Mikal Bridges (28.5, 8.0 rebound) has been even better as Nova nudged Louisville 2013 to take first in the Big East.

Obviously it is only a 2-game sample and while I believe the player cards in the free game are now very accurate, dice lead to the same variations as you see in real games. In fact, in the first two games of my SEC play, Kentucky 2012, Florida 2006 and Auburn 2019 are all 2-0, but using the same player card for Sidarius Thornwell (who we still have nightmares about from the South Carolina tournament game a few years ago) scored 33 points against VCU after being held to 7 by Florida. Partly that is the result of tougher defensive match-ups, but part is just the dice from game to game - and likewise as awesome as Marquette fans saw both Bridges and 2002 Cincinnati great Steve Logan are, they will not keep their current 28.5 and 26.0 points per game over the course of several games.

With the disclaimer that it is only two games, here are Big East leaders in four categories followed by the stats for all Marquette players who played enough to have a card, followed by the standings and box scores from the seven games played so far.


Big East Scoring leaders (2 games)PtsRebStlBlock
Bridges, Villanova 201828.58.00.02.0
Logan, Cincinnati 200226.02.51.50.0
Gordon, Connecticut 200423.52.01.00.5
Green, Georgetown 200721.55.01.52.0
Smith, Louisville 201319.55.02.51.0
Big East Rebound leaders (2 games)PtsRebStlBlock
Okafor, Connecticut 200417.516.51.50.5
Dieng, Louisville 20137.010.00.00.5
Hibbert, Georgetown 200711.09.50.05.0
Bridges, Villanova 201828.58.00.02.0
Spellman, Villanova 201810.07.52.00.0
Davis, Cincinnati 20024.57.51.50.0
Big East Steals leaders (2 games)PtsRebStlBlock
Siva, Louisville 201319.01.54.50.0
Wade, Marquette 200314.56.03.50.5
McElroy, Cincinnati 200210.53.03.50.5
Brown T, Connecticut 20042.51.53.50.5
Brunson, Villanova 201815.50.03.50.5
Big East Blocks leaders (2 games)PtsRebStlBlock
Hibbert, Georgetown 200711.09.50.05.0
Williams, Connecticut 20041.50.01.02.5

Bridges, Villanova 201828.58.00.02.0
Green, Georgetown 200721.55.01.52.0
Boone, Connecticut 20045.55.00.02.0
Other Marquette 2003 PtsRebStlBlock
Jackson, Marquette 200315.56.00.00.0
Diener, Marquette 200314.52.51.00.0
Novak, Marquette 20035.54.00.00.0
Townsend, Marquette 20034.01.01.51.0
Merritt, Marquette 20033.84.00.00.0
Chapman, Marquette 20033.50.00.00.0
Grimm, Marquette 20032.51.50.00.0
Bradley, Marquette 20030.00.00.00.0

Here are the standings. After the 6-game round robin the tie breaker will be point differential and teh top two make my tournament, but 2nd place team must win two play-in games (like being in the round of 32 to start) while the champ goes right to the Elite 8. I would say Marquette's road is a little uphill due to a very weak defense and the fact that they have not played and of the three defending national champs, but as we all know from 2003 MU's fire power gives them a shot even against a No. 1. This is the same setup for my Big Ten, Big 12, Pac 12 and SEC, but because the addition of Syracuse 2003 gives the ACC five national champs, I am giving them the two extra spots for their 3rd and 4th place team in the preliminary round of my tournament.

Just updated the standings after McDermott scored another 32 points against UConn to up his mark to a national best 31.5 ppg, but UConn dominated 86-61 to move into second place due to a 12-point average margin of victory.


Big East (past & present)WLPtsPtsAllPt Dif
Villanova 201820836716.0
Connecticut 200421736112.0
Marquette 20032173730.0
Louisville 20131174695.0
Georgetown 20071176715.0
Cincinnati 2002117175-4.0
Creighton027285-13.0
Butler 2010025480-26.0

Finally these box scores would be a little more neat of I did not include the info to the left, but it is helpful when others play the game. It shows the position at which I play each player and which of the last 44 possessions I have them on the court when playing the game. For example, Steve Novak has the best three-point card and the best free throw card of all players on all 42 teams, but the card shows he can play 14 of the last 44 possessions, so I play him at the end in possessions 14-1 (1 is the final). Todd Townsend is actually the workhorse, so he plays from the 1st possession (44) down to when Novak enters (so "44-15"). Here are the instructions of you want to try any matchups yourself, and it links to cards for all 353 teams from 2019 if anyone is curious about current.


Villanova 201877
Louisville 201373
G-FPossVillanova 2018PtsRebStlsBlks
141-1Brunson13041
237-1DiVincenzo18141
335-1Paschall3130
442-1Bridges31501
535-1Spellman6500
Bench
0000
0000
144-42Gillespie3000
2,3,444-38,37-28,27-25Booth3200
544-36Cosby-Roundtree0200
Total7716113
G-FPossLouisville 2013PtsRebStlsBlks
140-1Siva25260
244-41,34-1Smith15731
338-35,31-1Hancock17410
431-1Dieng3901
530-1Behanan4500
Bench
0000
1,2,344-41, 40,35, 34-32Ware0202
344-39Van Treese3000
4.344-32,31-24Blackshear0400
544-31Harrell6200
Total7335104
Connecticut 200471
Butler 201047
G-FPossConnecticut 2004PtsRebStlsBlks
139-1Brown T5261
2allGordon23201
330-1Brown D0400
424-1Boone5504
538-1Okafor191231
Bench
144-40Williams3005
344-31Villanueva5202
444-25Anderson8400
544-40Armstrong3700
539 - sTooles0100
Total7139914
G-FPossButler 2010PtsRebStlsBlks
144-39,34-1Mack7001
238-1Nored7440
339-1Veasley14310
431-1Howard12200
543-1Hayward7510
Bench
2,10000
344-39,38-35Vanzant0020
444-40Butcher0000
444-32Hahn0100
544Jukes0100
Total471681
Cincinnati 200279
Georgetown 200777
G-FPossCincinnati 2002PtsRebStlsBlks
1allLogan27130
239-1McElroy18301
344-30,20-1Davis6430
435-1Stokes6700
529-1Little10600
Bench
0000
0000
244-40Barker0100
444-36Williams7200
5,344-30, 29-1Maxiell5622
Total793083
G-FPossGeorgetown 2007PtsRebStlsBlks
142-1Wallace12400
244-43, 41-1Sapp13110
3allGreen13500
432-1Summers23210
532-1Hibbert12804
Bench
0000
1,244-43, 42Macklin0000
444-33Ewing0202
444-38Rivers0100
537-33Egerson4100
Total772426
Marquette 200373
Cincinnati 200262
G-FPossMarquette 2003PtsRebStlsBlks
1allDiener22410
242-1Wade11661
314-1Novak8500
437-1Merritt121100
536-1Jackson7900
Bench
10000
4,544-43Chapman0000
444-15Townsend8132
544-38,37Merritt0200
544-38Grimm5200
Total7340103
G-FPossCincinnati 2002PtsRebStlsBlks
1allLogan25400
239-1McElroy3370
344-30,20-1Davis31100
435-1Stokes11410
529-1Little3813
Bench
0000
0000
244-40Barker0100
444-36Williams4100
5,344-30, 29-1Maxiell13400
Total623693
Marquette 200362
Georgetown 200774
G-FPossMarquette 2003PtsRebStlsBlks
1allDiener7110
242-1Wade18610
314-1Novak3300
437-1Merritt3200
536-1Jackson24300
Bench
10000
4,544-43Chapman7000
444-15Townsend0100
544-38,37Merritt0100
544-38Grimm0100
Total621820
G-FPossGeorgetown 2007PtsRebStlsBlks
142-1Wallace16500
244-43, 41-1Sapp7130
3allGreen30534
432-1Summers3400
532-1Hibbert101106
Bench
0300
1,244-43, 42Macklin3602
444-33Ewing0100
444-38Rivers3100
537-33Egerson3100
Total7538612
Villanova 201889
Butler 201060
G-FPossVillanova 2018PtsRebStlsBlks
141-1Brunson18030
237-1DiVincenzo13400
335-1Paschall14300
442-1Bridges261103
535-1Spellman141040
Bench
0000
0000
144-42Gillespie0000
2,3,444-38,37-28,27-25Booth0130
544-36Cosby-Roundtree4100
Total8930103
G-FPossButler 2010PtsRebStlsBlks
144-39,34-1Mack8500
238-1Nored17111
339-1Veasley3300
431-1Howard20800
543-1Hayward12501
Bench
2,10000
344-39,38-35Vanzant0220
444-40Butcher0000
444-32Hahn0100
544Jukes0100
Total602632
Connecticut 200461
Louisville 201374
G-FPossConnecticut 2004PtsRebStlsBlks
139-1Brown T0110
2allGordon24220
330-1Brown D3410
424-1Boone6500
538-1Okafor162100
Bench
144-40Williams0020
344-31Villanueva0000
444-25Anderson12130
544-40Armstrong0120
539 - sTooles0100
Total6136110
G-FPossLouisville 2013PtsRebStlsBlks
140-1Siva13130
244-41,34-1Smith24321
338-35,31-1Hancock17630
431-1Dieng111100
530-1Behanan4311
Bench
0000
1,2,344-41, 40,35, 34-32Ware0020
344-39Van Treese0120
4.344-32,31-24Blackshear4120
544-31Harrell1320
Total7429172

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