Wednesday, December 30, 2020

Marquette vs. Georgetown - 2 Worst Turnover Differential Teams in Big 6 Conferences

Another great day shooting for Marquette led to a great start, but lopsided loss to Villanova. The one problem once again was turnovers. Yes, 7 of 16 free throws was a bad night, but on average a team hits 11 of 16 free throws so that only costs Marquette 4 points - less if they grab just one of the rebounds of those missed shots and score on the possession.

But turning the ball over 17 times while forcing only four turnovers is tough to overcome. Looking at national stats at www.kenpom.com a huge difference in turnovers (though not that big a discrepancy) was not completely unexpected. Villanova forces turnovers on 19.0 percent of opponents' possessions while only turning the ball over 11.6% of their trips - a +7.4 that ranks 15th in the nation in Turnover Advantage.

Unfortunately Marquette's 21.2 percent turnover ratio compared to turning opponents' over 14.8 percent of the time is a -6.4, the second worst difference of any team in the top six conferences. As you can see from the bottom of this table, only Georgetown is worst. The good news is that with one area being such a weak spot - and potentially somewhat explained by all the missed practice time, there is really only one problem that really needs to be fixed for this to be a very exciting team with a high ceiling. Here are the top 25 teams in Turnover Advantage, followed by the worst 10 teams among the top six conferences.

Georgetown and Marquette should both improve Saturday - when they play each other.

RnkTurnovers Forced - TOConfTO advantageOff TO%Def TO%
1Wake ForestACC14.818.233
2N.C. StateACC13.215.929.1
3UtahP121313.526.5
4Texas TechB1212.316.528.8
5BaylorB1211.515.727.2
6Eastern KentuckyOVC11.21728.2
7TennesseeSEC1114.925.9
8FordhamA1010.910.921.8
9Florida AtlanticCUSA9.415.524.9
10UABCUSA9.215.424.6
11Sacramento St.BSky8.317.425.7
12ClemsonACC7.719.927.6
13Arizona St.P127.615.423
14IowaB107.512.620.1
15VillanovaBE7.411.619
16HoustonAmer7.418.125.5
17PacificWCC7.31219.3
18MississippiSEC720.527.5
19Abilene ChristianSlnd721.828.8
20MassachusettsA106.815.322.1
21NavyPat6.814.721.5
22LIUNEC6.61622.6
23UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC6.618.324.9
24WisconsinB106.412.218.6
25St. John'sBE6.317.223.5
 Worst 10 Major ConfConfTO advantageOff TO%Def TO%
1GeorgetownBE-821.713.7
2MarquetteBE-6.421.214.8
3KentuckySEC-4.922.817.9
4Notre DameACC-4.716.712
5DePaulBE-4.721.817.1
6South CarolinaSEC-4.326.522.2
7IllinoisB10-418.914.9
8MichiganB10-3.618.314.7
9Michigan St.B10-31815
10Iowa St.B12-2.823.520.7


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