The most hateful time of year is here and we're excited to talk about it. However, first we have to talk about the two wins Marquette got this week, on the road against Georgia and at home against a frisky Fresno State. We talk about the team's performance in both games, especially the freshman, Sam Hauser and Markus Howard. After spending time breaking down critical performances and concerns over Haanif Cheatham's slump, we jump into #BadgerHateWeek The discussion covers the ins and outs of Saturday's game against our hated rival, including keys to the games, player match ups, and predictions. We have a lot of fun hating on the red menace, we hope you enjoy it with us. Ring Out Ahoya! Download this episode (right click and save)
Thursday, December 08, 2016
Written by Phil Bush at 10:50 PM
As Marquette gets ready for the Wisconsin Badgers, and interesting forecast played out on the RPI Forecast site. If bids were passed out exclusively by the projected final RPI for each school, with automatic bids accounted for, Marquette would be the third from final at-large bid.
The last four in play in Dayton in the opening week, and under this scenario if every favored team kept winning except for Marquette, the following would be Marquette's path:
Dayton: (12) Wake Forest vs. (12) Marquette
1st Round: Marquette vs. (5) Wisconsin again (the third best 5-seed on the s-curve)
2nd Round: Marquette vs. (4) Saint Mary's
Regional Semi: Marquette vs. (1) Kansas
Regional Championship: Marquette vs. (2) Baylor
Final Four: Marquette vs. (1) North Carolina
National Championship: Marquette vs. (overall No. 1) Villanova
The other Big East teams would be:
Butler (last 3-seed)
Xavier (1st 4-seed)
Creighton (last 5-seed)
With Marquette as the 5th and Final Big East Seed:
Providence (first 2-seed in NIT)
Seton Hall (top 4-seed in NIT)
And Georgetown missing the NIT by three spots though it would be more due to automatic bids for regular season winners that did not win their tournaments.
Obviously this projection could go way up or down based on Saturday against the Badgers.
Written by JohnPudner at 12:50 AM
Friday, December 02, 2016
We're back with a new podcast after we've all fattened up on cupcakes. We spend some time talking about the three games that MU most recently played to decide if there is anything we can gleam from the performance of the team after the sub-optimal performance in NYC. Then, we get into a few impromptu #ScrambledQs starting with a discussion of the starting line-up. That discussion turns to the hot #mubb social media question, what's up with Katin Reinhardt and is he salvageable. We also spend some more time talking about the point guard situation and how fluid it continues to be. That conversation leads to the topic of significance, the road game against Georgia, breaking down how Marquette could win and whether we think they will. We also talk about how important the Georgia game in the context of the season as prompted by Paint Touches. We also talk a little bit about the trap game, Fresno State, and what to be concerned about. We close out with a couple of fun #ScrambledQs: @MUBBNation wanted to know which one of us had the better jumper and @PaintTouches wants to know if we still hate Buzz and/or Crean and if so why? Enjoy! Download this episode (right click and save)
Written by Phil Bush at 8:45 AM
Thursday, December 01, 2016
For the first time in four years, Marquette has three players in the 90th percentile (top 400) most valuable players in the country with Luke Fischer (189th), Haanif Cheatham (261st) and JuJuan Johnson (313th). MU fans were spoiled when MU did it from 2006 to 2013, and in 2003 all five MU starters made it including No. 3 Dwyane Wade and No. 39 Travis Diener being in the 99th percentile, or top 1% of all players.
Below is a list of the top 50 players at Value Add Basketball that you will see if you watch the rest of Marquette's games. While Villanova's Josh Hart is making his case for Player of the Year as the 12th most valuable to date, MU faces an even more valuable opponent Sunday in 6-foot-8 Yante Maten of Georgia. Maten scored 30 points against Kansas and could not miss in the first half, and he is ranked among national leaders in blocked shots and rebounds and actually leads the Bulldogs in steals.
The "Actual Value" shows how many points per 100 trips the player is worth to his team per 100 offensive and defensive trips (Value Add 3.0), while the "If Go To" shows how many they would project to be worth if they received the ball at least 16% of the time (Value Add 4.0).
Below I list players by their actual value, but right now www.valueaddbasketball.com ranks by the projected value:
|Rnk||Player||Team||Ht||Actual Val||If GoTo|
|6||Yante Maten, #1||Georgia||6'8"||13.34||13.34|
|12||Josh Hart, #3||Villanova||6'5"||12.55||13.80|
|19||Rodney Pryor, #23||Georgetown||6'5"||12.13||12.13|
|29||Rodney Bullock, #5||Providence||6'8"||11.71||11.71|
|37||Ethan Happ, #22||Wisconsin||6'10"||11.17||11.17|
|40||JP Macura, #55||Xavier||6'5"||10.98||13.18|
|45||Mikal Bridges, #25||Villanova||6'7"||10.75||13.95|
|51||Eli Cain, #11||DePaul||6'6"||10.60||10.60|
|83||Khadeen Carrington, #0||Seton Hall||6'4"||9.65||10.62|
|90||Keenan Simmons, #45||SIU Edwardsville||6'6"||9.57||15.79|
|121||Khyri Thomas, #2||Creighton||6'3"||8.91||11.92|
|140||Jahmel Taylor, #5||Fresno St.||6'0||8.55||13.27|
|153||Josh Nebo, #32||St. Francis PA||6'8"||8.32||9.34|
|181||LJ Peak, #0||Georgetown||6'5"||7.97||8.77|
|189||Luke Fischer, #40||Marquette||6'11"||7.84||10.02|
|193||Shamorie Ponds, #2||St. John's||6'1"||7.78||8.56|
|215||Kris Jenkins, #2||Villanova||6'6"||7.57||7.57|
|220||Trevon Bluiett, #5||Xavier||6'6"||7.54||7.54|
|227||JJ Frazier, #30||Georgia||5'10"||7.42||8.90|
|246||Andrew Chrabascz, #45||Butler||6'7"||7.23||9.06|
|261||Haanif Cheatham, #25||Marquette||6'5"||7.11||8.33|
|275||Justin Patton, #23||Creighton||7'0||7.04||10.06|
|277||Edmond Sumner, #4||Xavier||6'6"||7.03||7.73|
|289||Cullen Russo, #13||Fresno St.||6'9"||6.95||8.17|
|298||Keith Braxton, #13||St. Francis PA||6'4"||6.87||6.87|
|305||Bronson Koenig, #24||Wisconsin||6'3"||6.81||7.49|
|313||JaJuan Johnson, #23||Marquette||6'5"||6.77||6.82|
|316||Marcus LoVett, #15||St. John's||6'0||6.75||8.09|
|324||Nigel Hayes, #10||Wisconsin||6'8"||6.70||6.70|
|376||Kamar Baldwin, #3||Butler||6'0||6.37||10.32|
|392||Emmitt Holt, #15||Providence||6'7"||6.25||6.88|
|407||Tre'Darius McCallum, #10||DePaul||6'7"||6.14||6.66|
|433||Jalen Brunson, #1||Villanova||6'2"||6.00||7.20|
|434||Myles Powell, #13||Seton Hall||6'2"||6.00||7.81|
|486||Tyler Lewis, #1||Butler||5'11"||5.71||9.55|
|535||Desi Rodriguez, #20||Seton Hall||6'6"||5.45||5.45|
|603||Jalen Lindsey, #21||Providence||6'7"||5.13||8.31|
|612||Avery Woodson, #0||Butler||6'2"||5.06||9.30|
|613||Donte DiVincenzo, #10||Villanova||6'5"||5.06||7.78|
|633||Marcus Foster, #0||Creighton||6'3"||4.93||5.43|
|652||Tyler Wideman, #4||Butler||6'8"||4.84||7.23|
|659||Sean O'Mara, #54||Xavier||6'10"||4.81||8.13|
|660||Darrick Wood, #1||DePaul||6'5"||4.80||8.55|
|680||Zak Showalter, #3||Wisconsin||6'3"||4.72||9.04|
|716||Darryl Reynolds, #45||Villanova||6'9"||4.52||7.71|
|757||Sam Hauser, #10||Marquette||6'7"||4.33||7.81|
|762||Kelan Martin, #30||Butler||6'7"||4.32||4.32|
|792||Angel Delgado, #31||Seton Hall||6'10"||4.19||4.19|
|810||Maurice Watson, #10||Creighton||5'10"||4.12||4.94|
|826||Michael Nzei, #1||Seton Hall||6'8"||4.05||7.04|
Written by JohnPudner at 2:43 AM
Friday, November 25, 2016
Value Add ranks UNC No. 1, while remaining more skeptical of the AP No. 1 Kentucky. A UNC-Nova (#3) rematch for the national title is possible, but the Value Add dark horse is Utah. The Utes would rank 16th based on their players' Value Add to date, but Value Add projects that big man transfer David Collette in the coming weeks makes them the fifth best team in the country.
On the downside, Virginia's 50.77 is actually No. 1, but that includes 1.9 from Memphis transfer Austin Nichols, who has been kicked off the team. After subtracting out his value UVa falls three spots to No. 4 at 48.87.
ValueAddBasketball.com calculates Marquette with just enough talent to sneak into the last NCAA tournament spot, giving the Big East six teams. That ranks behind only the ACC (12), Big 12 (8) and Big Ten (7), and with a better ratio than the Big Ten. Value Add gives the Pac 12 five teams, but for some reason is particularly unkind to the SEC while giving only Kentucky and Florida a bid. However, a half dozen SEC teams are in the top 66, so that number could grow. The A10, American Athletic and West Coast Conference all have three bids. The other 23 conferences only get one bid.
Marquette will face Fresno State while Value Add calculates they have the 189th best team in the country. The week after that game Karachi Edo will take final exams to try to become eligible at which point Value Add calculates his impact (+5.0 Value Add) moves them up 89 spots to make them the 100th best team. Last year he went 7 of 9 shooting to keep close to Utah in the NCAA.
Here is the ranking of teams that either project to make the tournament, be in the last four out, or to have a player returning in the next few weeks (mid-season transfers or early season injuries) to give a significant Value Add boost in the second number - or in the case of UVa and UConn a big loss.
|Rnk||Team||Con||Bid?||Value Add||Trans/Inj||Key Transfers/Injuries changing 2nd number|
|1||North Carolina||ACC||auto||49.98||49.98||We don't project return value for long-term injuries like Theo Pinson - the players listed below should be back within a couple of weeks.|
|4||Virginia||ACC||bid||50.77||48.87||Austin Nichols -1.9 Memphis transfer dismissed after strong opener.|
David Collette +8.0 Value Add's 18th best freshman in 2015 before Utah St. tried for months to block his transfer to Utah, where ex-NBA center Larry Krystkowiak could make him another NBA center.
|10||Kentucky||SEC||auto||46.57||46.57||AP No. 1|
|16||Clemson||ACC||bid||39.47||41.47||Elijah Thomas +2.0 former top 50 prospect transferred from Texas A&M to play in December.|
|21||Arizona||P12||bid||40.19||40.19||AP No. 8|
|26||Oklahoma||B12||bid||38.00||39.00||Dante Buford +1.0 coming off suspension after some action as a freshman.|
|29||East Tennessee St.||SC||auto||38.81||38.81|
|43||TCU||B12||bid||32.37||36.37||Alex Robinson +4.0 a number of double digit outings at Texas A&M before transfer, enough to take them from 67th to 43rd and make the tournament.|
|48||Marquette||BE||bid||35.21||35.21||Yes the last bid, and no I did not fudge - just ran the numbers.|
|51||North Carolina St.||ACC||last4||34.96||34.96|
|54||UNC Wilmington||CAA||auto||32.66||34.16||Names in italics below would make the tournament by winning their conference |
Ambrose Mosley +2.5 at UNCW for senior year after being leading 3-point shooter for 27-8 ODU team.
|57||Cal St. Fullerton||BW||auto||26.33||33.83||Khalil Ahmad +7.0 conference freshman of the year missing semester for academics, Riley Dearring +1 hit a couple of shots for Wisconsin's tourney team two years ago.|
|60||St. Bonaventure||A10||gain||32.48||33.48||Nelson Kaputo +1.0 some action as freshman and needs to pass exams to return Dec 17.|
|72||San Diego St.||MWC||auto||31.36||31.36|
|78||Incarnate Word||Slnd||inelig||30.57||30.57||new D1 not eligible yet, but otherwise could make tournament at-large or as conf champ|
|80||North Dakota St.||Sum||auto||29.94||29.94|
|84||Charlotte||CUSA||auto||28.09||29.59||Austin Ajukwa +1.5 two seasons at Clemson and should contribute at Charlotte.|
|89||Georgia Tech||ACC||gain||27.85||29.05||Josh Heath +1.2 takes the court against Tulane Saturday after 4-game suspension.|
|100||Fresno St.||MWC||gain||23.21||28.21||Karachi Edo +5.0 capped 3 strong first years with 7 of 9 shooting to keep close to Utah in the NCAA, but must pass exams in mid-December.|
|103||Stephen F. Austin||Slnd||auto||28.06||28.06|
|107||Missouri||SEC||gain||25.84||27.84||Jordan Barnett +2.0 returns to Missouri from Texas - former top 100 recruit.|
|118||Florida Gulf Coast||ASun||auto||27.10||27.10|
|126||Texas Southern||SWAC||auto||22.74||26.24||Tevon Saddler +3.5 led UNCG in scoring and assists before transfer.|
|158||New Mexico St.||WAC||auto||24.36||24.36|
|167||Cal St. Bakersfield||WAC||gain||23.64||24.04|
Following teams have significant player changes to their current Value Add
Fallou Ndoye +0.4 played in 30 games as a freshman at Mississippi St. then six more last year before transfer.
|184||DePaul||BE||gain||22.42||23.42||Austin Grandstaff +0.2 hit some 3-pointers for Ohio State.|
|191||Western Kentucky||CUSA||gain||21.50||23.00||Jabari McGhee +1.5 hit 62% of his shots (23-37) at Tennessee.|
|192||Connecticut||Amer||lost||27.46||22.96||Terry Larrier -4.5 off to a great start but season ending knee injury crushing for Uconn.|
|224||Kent St.||MAC||gain||19.08||21.08||Taishaun Johnson +2.0 after averaging 12.5 points as a freshman at South Alabama, a nice addition.|
|236||Tennessee Tech||OVC||gain||19.80||20.30||Curtis Phillips +0.5 eight points a game at Campbell.|
|239||South Florida||Amer||gain||14.63||20.13||Jahmal McMurray +4.5 all-freshman team hopes to return from suspension, Isaiah Manderson 1.0 Texas Tech transfer 4.4 ppg as freshman.|
|257||Alabama St.||SWAC||gain||15.95||18.95||Demetrius Houston +3.0 returns home to Montgomery after showing promise his freshman year at Mississippi St.|
|263||Florida Atlantic||CUSA||gain||15.42||18.42||Justin Massey +3.0 solid player at Florida Atlantic as a freshman, then transferred to Brown for 9 games before coming back.|
|280||Pepperdine||WCC||gain||16.85||17.85||Kameron Edwards +1.0 after scoring 7 points/gm as a freshman he will return from a jaw injury.|
|294||Howard||MEAC||gain||13.15||17.15||James Daniel +4.0 quest for 2000 points resumes after early season ankle injury.|
Written by JohnPudner at 1:42 AM
Thursday, November 24, 2016
Haanif Cheatham and Luke Fischer earn All-Big East 3rd Team Honors in the early going, based on Value Add Calculations. Cheatham improves MU by 6.94 points per 100 offensive trips, and takes 1.21 points off the opponents scoreboard during those trips for a total Version 3 Value Add of 6.94 points.
Version 4.0 (introduced this week) calculates that the average shooting guard is averaging almost 10% less value than other players, so between that adjustment and the calculation of how much value Cheatham could have with 16% of MU's possessions instead of his current 14%, Cheatham calculates to a potential overall value of 9.48 if MU can get him the ball more.
Only three sophomores (Bridges, Thomas and Cain) and one freshman (LoVett) are more valuable than Cheatham.
Luke Fischer is just behind Cheatham at 9.38 and could definitely use more than 12% of all possessions as he hits over 70 percent of his shots. Both are in the 94th percentile of all players at 265th and 271st nationally of over 4000 players that can be pulled up at www.valueaddbasketball.com.
JuJuan Johnson's -2.76 defensive rating is the fourth best in the Big East, meaning he takes away three points per 100 trips away from opponents over a replacement player. Duane Wilson and Sam Hauser have been very valuable while having the ball 8 percent of the time for MU, indicating they would both join Johnson as very valuable if they were given the ball a lot more often (16% instead of their current 8%).
These rankings are based on how valuable players would be if given the opportunity to be a major contributor for their team, so players like Baldwin and O'Mara have not truly been worth enough points to make the first two teams, but in theory are playing at that level while on the court and getting the ball.
|Nat'l||1st Team All-Big East||Team||Value4.0||V3.0||Poss||Off||Def|
|23||JP Macura #55||Xavier||14.71||12.25||19%||11.42||-0.83|
|24||Mikal Bridges #25||Villanova||14.67||11.19||12%||9.14||-2.04|
|55||Josh Hart #3||Villanova||12.95||11.78||20%||9.41||-2.36|
|56||Kamar Baldwin #3||Butler||12.95||7.42||9%||3.86||-3.56|
|95||Khyri Thomas #2||Creighton||11.88||8.15||12%||7.05||-1.1|
|Nat'l||2nd Team All-Big East||Team||Value4.0||V3.0||Poss||Off||Def|
|111||Rodney Pryor #23||Georgetown||11.57||11.57||17%||9.69||-1.88|
|175||LJ Peak #0||Georgetown||10.64||9.67||20%||8.36||-1.31|
|198||Eli Cain #11||DePaul||10.32||10.32||21%||10.77||0.44|
|219||Marcus LoVett #15||St. John's||10.02||8.35||24%||8.41||0.06|
|235||Sean O'Mara #54||Xavier||9.79||5.66||8%||5.08||-0.58|
|Nat'l||3rd Team All-Big East||Team||Value4.0||V3.0||Poss||Off||Def|
|243||Tyler Lewis #1||Butler||9.7||5.03||9%||4.99||-0.05|
|265||Haanif Cheatham #25||Marquette||9.48||8.15||14%||6.94||-1.21|
|270||Khadeen Carrington #0||Seton Hall||9.39||8.53||19%||8.24||-0.29|
|271||Luke Fischer #40||Marquette||9.38||7.14||12%||6.13||-1.02|
|283||Darrick Wood #1||DePaul||9.26||4.82||8%||5.77||0.95|
|Nat'l||Other High MU Players||Team||Value4.0||V3.0||Poss||Off||Def|
|499||Duane Wilson #1||Marquette||7.64||4.2||8%||3.36||-0.84|
|666||JaJuan Johnson #23||Marquette||6.67||6.44||15%||3.68||-2.76|
|669||Sam Hauser #10||Marquette||6.65||3.87||8%||3.17||-0.7|
A piece in Breitbart Sports indicated former MU recruit
|Marial Shayok was one of the top 10 Value Add players through Saturday, but he has dropped to 84th as of Thanksgiving.|
Written by JohnPudner at 3:31 AM
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Well, the tone of this podcast has changed rapidly, much like Marquette's performance on the court. No sugar coating it, we got a little over our skis after the first two games of the season with Michigan and Pitt bringing us all back to Earth. We spend time talking about the 2K Classic results and what it means for Marquette. We try to breakdown what went wrong and how it might be corrected. We also have a discussion around the coaching staff and whether or not there is reason to be concerned early in year 3 of the Wojo era. After finishing our moping about the NYC results we turn to some surprising news in the transfer of Sandy Cohen. We discuss what the news means, and how it may have come to this. Then, wrapping up the Eeyore episode of Scrambled Eggs, we look ahead to the rest of the non-conference schedule and look at how it may play out with the new, less rose colored viewpoint. Download this episode (right click and save)
Written by Phil Bush at 7:55 AM
Monday, November 21, 2016
One year ago Value Add 3.0 provided the most precise value of all 4000 players in D1 basketball, and now Value Add 4.0 finally provides a measurement of how valuable each player would be if they were a Major Contributor for their team. This answers the lingering criticism of how we measure the value of a superstar stuck down the bench at Kentucky.
First we will reveal the top few players, the players from Major Conferences in the Top 1% of all players (top 40), the Big East players in the top 5% of all players (top 200) and the Marquette trio in the top 15% of all players, then we will cover the new math. While we are just updating the tables, you can find the ranking for all 3,898 players by clicking on www.valueaddbasketball.com.
No. 13 on the early list is a painful one for MU, as Brewtown Andy wrote two years ago.
|Rnk||Player||Team||v4.0 if Major||Conf||v3.0 Pts/G||%usage||Pos||GoTo Adj|
|1||Jacob Van #15||Air Force||16.48||MWC||13.73||16%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|2||Jeremy Morgan #20||Northern Iowa||16.19||MVC||16.19||21%||PF*1||1.00|
|3||David DiLeo #14||Central Michigan||15.84||MAC||14.14||14%||PF*1||1.12|
|4||Marquis Wright #1||Siena||12.30||MAAC||10.25||26%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|5||Brandon Parrish #11||TCU||12.17||B12||7.02||8%||PF*1||1.73|
|8||Markelle Fultz #20||Washington||12.03||P12||10.03||31%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|12||Charles Cooke #4||Dayton||11.02||A10||11.02||23%||PF*1||1.00|
|13||Marial Shayok #4||Virginia||10.93||ACC||6.72||10%||SG*1.1||1.48|
|17||Devin Davis #15||Houston||10.73||Amer||10.73||16%||C*1||1.00|
|19||Josh Hart #3||Villanova||10.51||BE||9.55||20%||SG*1.1||1.00|
|20||DJ Johnson #4||Kansas St.||10.42||B12||7.36||11%||C*1||1.42|
|22||Devin Robinson #1||Florida||10.41||SEC||8.14||12%||SF*1||1.28|
|24||Malcolm Hill #21||Illinois||10.36||B10||10.36||25%||SF*1||1.00|
|29||ShawnDre' Jones #3||Richmond||9.97||A10||8.31||29%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|31||Tyus Battle #25||Syracuse||9.86||ACC||5.15||8%||SG*1.1||1.74|
|32||Mikal Bridges #25||Villanova||9.76||BE||7.56||12%||SF*1||1.29|
|33||Joel Berry #2||North Carolina||9.76||ACC||7.96||15%||PG*1.2||1.02|
|35||Anton Beard #31||Arkansas||9.70||SEC||5.13||9%||PG*1.2||1.58|
|36||Manu Lecomte #20||Baylor||9.61||B12||8.01||19%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|63||Khyri Thomas #2||Creighton||8.81||BE||6.01||12%||SG*1.1||1.33|
|68||Kamar Baldwin #3||Butler||8.68||BE||5.16||10%||SG*1.1||1.53|
|107||Darryl Reynolds #45||Villanova||7.55||BE||4.02||6%||C*1||1.88|
|120||Shamorie Ponds #2||St. John's||7.30||BE||6.41||15%||SG*1.1||1.03|
|171||JP Macura #55||Xavier||6.63||BE||5.53||21%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|182||Justin Patton #23||Creighton||6.49||BE||4.24||10%||C*1||1.53|
|190||Jalen Brunson #1||Villanova||6.41||BE||5.35||15%||PG*1.2||1.00|
|222||Luke Fischer #40||Marquette||6.09||BE||4.68||12%||C*1||1.30|
|371||Haanif Cheatham #25||Marquette||5.00||BE||4.23||14%||SG*1.1||1.08|
|544||JaJuan Johnson #23||Marquette||3.95||BE||3.95||16%||SF*1||1.00|
Based on Value Add 3.0 we know that Luke Fischer improves Marquette's points per 100 trips by 4.68 (almost all on offense right now). He is worth an outstanding 130 points per 100 trips down the court. However, Fischer is only getting 12% of Marquette's overall possessions (on the court for 68% of minutes multiplied by 18% of possessions when on the court equals 12%). Based on Dean Oliver's charts in "Basketball on Paper," we can estimate that Fischer would could impact Marquette's scores by 1.3 times as many points (far right factor) if he could get the ball a solid 16% of all possessions in a game, which calculates to a potential Value of 6.09 points - the 222nd best rating in all of basketball.
We do also monitor the average performance by possession each season. While we list the five traditional positions (Point Guard, Shooting Guard, Small Forward, Power Forward and Center) this position is calculated for each player based on four factors. First, a players assist rate is divided by his defensive rebound percentage, which gives an indication on if he plays more on the perimeter or underneath. The players height is also factored, and finally these factors are compared to all of his teammates so that each team has a pretty even distribution of minutes played at each of the five positions. If a team plays a four guard set, the player who spends the most time inside and/or is tallest is going to be considered a power forward for purposes of comparison to the other "No. 4" players on other teams.
So far this season the teams' three "forward/centers" are averaging about the same value over the 351 teams. Shooting guards rank almost 10% lower in the calculations than the front line players, and point guards rank almost 20% lower, so these players have their rankings further multiplied by 1.1 and 1.2 respectively to show how much they improve their team over a replacement player at the same possession.
The initial Value Add 3.0 Calculation is thus multiplied by the position factor and then the usage factor. If a player already has at least 16% of his team's possessions then he is considered to already be performing at his maximum level.
Therefore JuJuan Johnson's 3.95 ranking is not adjusted upward because he is already possession the ball 16% of the time Marquette has it (partly by coming up with his own steals). That is good enough for 544th in the country, placing him in the top 15% of all players.
Haanif Cheatham's 4.23 is increased slightly (*1.08) based on how much more he could contribute if he had the ball 16% of the time instead of 14%, but he also has that factor multiplied by 1.1 to account for his numbers being even more impressive as a shooting guard.
Written by JohnPudner at 2:53 AM