"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Friday, June 08, 2018

Update; Nova 11th, SJU 22nd, MU 23rd, Prov 51, all BE now in top 100

Updated this piece with a note - Providence moves to 27th overall because Holt was left off and is worth almost 6 points a game. All Big East teams are now in the top 100 after another batch of updates on www.valueaddbasketball.com.

The only cautionary note I throw in is that while I have received some edits from around the country on the google sheet, I have received more from MU fans, so likely some teams are further down just because I am missing a key player.

Rnk Big East Value Add v5.0 Pts/Game
11 Villanova 38.51
22 St. John's 33.25
23 Marquette 33.13
27 Providence 32.44
51 Butler 27.36
65 Xavier 24.57
71 Georgetown 23.11
77 Creighton 22.35
90 DePaul 21.15
97 Seton Hall 20.36
All the rest
1 Nevada 52.98
2 Duke 46.65
3 Kentucky 46.48
4 Kansas 44.54
5 Tennessee 42.01
6 Oregon 41.52
7 North Carolina 40.31
8 Mississippi St. 40.05
9 Louisiana St. 39.18
10 Auburn 38.66
12 Gonzaga 37.94
13 Syracuse 37.44
14 UCLA 36.17
15 North Carolina St. 35.07
16 Indiana 34.95
17 Virginia 34.62
18 Texas 34.28
19 Kansas St. 34.16
20 Michigan St. 33.63
21 Virginia Tech 33.49
24 Maryland 32.77
25 Florida 32.73
26 Iowa 32.49
28 Arizona St. 32.1
29 Alabama 32.09
30 San Diego St. 31.84
31 Clemson 31.56
32 Western Kentucky 31.45
33 Southern California 31.41
34 Miami FL 31.14
35 Texas Tech 31.06
36 Wisconsin 30.75
37 Texas Christian 30.41
38 Northwestern 30.03
39 Iowa St. 29.83
40 Washington 29.81
41 Northeastern 29.6
42 Nebraska 29.49
43 Notre Dame 29.38
44 Ohio St. 28.95
45 Florida St. 28.92
46 Montana 28.81
47 Michigan 28.48
48 West Virginia 28.29
49 Penn St. 28.22
50 Vanderbilt 27.44
52 Buffalo 27.27
53 Houston 26.98
54 Dayton 26.64
55 Loyola Chicago 26.34
56 Illinois 26.19
57 Connecticut 26.1
58 Boston College 25.76
59 Oklahoma 25.71
60 Minnesota 25.58
61 Wofford 24.98
62 Missouri 24.92
63 Mississippi 24.92
64 Georgia St. 24.6
66 Purdue 24.15
67 South Carolina 23.71
68 Memphis 23.63
69 Harvard 23.53
70 Ball St. 23.43
72 Brigham Young 23.01
73 Southern Methodist 22.86
74 North Carolina Greensboro 22.62
75 Lipscomb 22.4
76 Radford 22.37
78 North Texas 22.33
79 Utah 22.24
80 Arizona 22.14
81 Toledo 22.11
82 Oregon St. 21.99
83 Utah St. 21.77
84 Belmont 21.74
85 Rutgers 21.68
86 UC Irvine 21.47
87 Illinois St. 21.45
88 Rider 21.23
89 Liberty 21.18
91 Texas A&M 21.14
92 Cincinnati 21
93 Arkansas 20.93
94 UC Davis 20.88
95 Temple 20.71
96 San Diego 20.52
98 Oklahoma St. 20.29
99 Rhode Island 20.27
100 Wake Forest 20.23
101 Old Dominion 20.18
102 Marshall 20.13
103 Fresno St. 20.09
104 Stephen F. Austin 20.07
105 St. Bonaventure 19.93
106 New Mexico 19.87
107 Colorado 19.85
108 Indiana St. 19.8
109 Nevada Las Vegas 19.72
110 Jacksonville St. 19.67
111 Baylor 19.6
112 Princeton 19.59
113 Southern Illinois 19.46
114 Georgia 19.42
115 Davidson 19.41
116 Northern Iowa 19.2
117 Eastern Michigan 19.11
118 Georgia Tech 18.71
119 South Alabama 18.71
120 Akron 18.61
121 Furman 18.59
122 Hofstra 18.59
123 Cal St. Fullerton 18.55
124 St. Francis PA 18.45
125 Yale 18.34
126 College of Charleston Southern 18.26
127 Virginia Commonwealth 18.2
128 Vermont 18.15
129 San Francisco 18.07
130 Stanford 18.07
131 Valparaiso 18.07
132 Boise St. 18.03
133 Middle Tennessee 17.91
134 St. Louis 17.85
135 Canisius 17.82
136 Wichita St. 17.78
137 Louisville 17.74
138 St. Joseph's 17.63
139 Idaho St. 17.56
140 South Dakota St. 17.56
141 Central Florida 17.52
142 Northern Colorado 17.51
143 St. Mary's 17.46
144 Murray St. 17.44
145 South Dakota 17.39
146 Southern Mississippi 17.36
147 Massachusetts 17.23
148 Austin Peay 17.21
149 Lehigh 17.11
150 Richmond 17.11
151 Iona 17.1
152 Loyola Marymount 16.8
153 Bradley 16.78
154 George Mason 16.77
155 Tulsa 16.73
156 Columbia 16.65
157 Seattle 16.59
158 North Florida 16.54
159 Delaware 16.49
160 Denver 16.45
161 William & Mary 16.45
162 Duquesne 16.42
163 Eastern Washington 16.42
164 Pacific 16.41
165 Washington St. 16.36
166 Utah Valley 16.33
167 Louisiana Lafayette 16.29
168 Northern Illinois 16.24
169 UAB 16.24
170 Texas San Antonio 16.23
171 Grand Canyon 16.17
172 North Carolina Wilmington 16.16
173 Cornell 16.1
174 James Madison 16.07
175 Northern Kentucky 16.06
176 Pepperdine 16.06
177 Kent St. 16.05
178 Central Michigan 15.98
179 Winthrop 15.9
180 Pennsylvania 15.89
181 IUPU Fort Wayne 15.65
182 New Mexico St. 15.58
183 NJ Inst of Technology 15.48
184 UC Santa Barbara 15.28
185 Wright St. 15.26
186 Georgia Southern 15.11
187 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.93
188 Tulane 14.8
189 Hartford 14.75
190 Texas Southern 14.62
191 Troy 14.52
192 Weber St. 14.48
193 Illinois Chicago 14.23
194 La Salle 14.22
195 Cal St. Bakersfield 14.12
196 Ohio 13.99
197 Colgate 13.88
198 Louisiana Tech 13.82
199 California 13.76
200 Long Beach St. 13.6
201 Monmouth 13.5
202 Tennessee Martin 13.37
203 St. Peter's 13.3
204 Florida Gulf Coast 13.22
205 Boston University 13.05
206 Hampton 12.96
207 Miami OH 12.96
208 Western Michigan 12.78
209 North Dakota St. 12.72
210 George Washington 12.69
211 Florida International 12.47
212 Appalachian St. 12.45
213 Coastal Carolina 12.43
214 Campbell 12.31
215 Charleston Southern 12.13
216 Howard 12.05
217 Hawaii 11.94
218 Long Island Brooklyn 11.93
219 Alabama St. 11.92
220 Colorado St. 11.9
221 Elon 11.89
222 Lamar 11.85
223 North Dakota 11.82
224 Air Force 11.69
225 Pittsburgh 11.68
226 Bowling Green 11.62
227 Southeast Missouri St. 11.52
228 Sam Houston St. 11.48
229 Fairfield 11.2
230 Missouri St. 11.14
231 Maryland Baltimore Co 11.1
232 Army 11.05
233 Montana St. 11.04
234 Fordham 11.02
235 Manhattan 11.02
236 Nebraska Omaha 11.02
237 Wyoming 10.89
238 Wagner 10.88
239 Gardner Webb 10.81
240 Oral Roberts 10.77
241 Charlotte 10.71
242 Quinnipiac 10.7
243 Louisiana Monroe 10.61
244 Santa Clara 10.6
245 Drake 10.59
246 Jacksonville 10.58
247 Brown 10.54
248 Eastern Kentucky 10.46
249 Samford 10.41
250 Texas St. 10.29
251 Niagara 10.28
252 American 10.19
253 New Orleans 10.19
254 Bucknell 10.11
255 Dartmouth 10.01
256 Binghamton 9.97
257 Western Carolina 9.85
258 Holy Cross 9.68
259 Portland St. 9.54
260 Robert Morris 9.49
261 Loyola MD 9.46
262 The Citadel 9.46
263 Abilene Christian 9.45
264 South Florida 9.41
265 Texas A&M Corpus Christi 9.27
266 Towson 9.19
267 St. Francis NY 9.14
268 Central Connecticut 9.07
269 Wisconsin Green Bay 8.97
270 East Tennessee St. 8.84
271 Siena 8.84
272 Central Arkansas 8.82
273 Bethune Cookman 8.8
274 Navy 8.7
275 Sacramento St. 8.7
276 North Carolina Asheville 8.68
277 UMass Lowell 8.64
278 Arkansas Little Rock 8.6
279 Lafayette 8.5
280 Stony Brook 8.49
281 Southern Utah 8.45
282 Tennessee Tech 8.38
283 Southeastern Louisiana 8.33
284 Northwestern St. 8.28
285 Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.25
286 Marist 8.23
287 Arkansas St. 8.11
288 Maryland Kings Co 8.02
289 East Carolina 8.01
290 Delaware St. 7.88
291 Morehead St. 7.88
292 Tennessee St. 7.78
293 Rice 7.75
294 Portland 7.67
295 Cal St. Northridge 7.57
296 Youngstown St. 7.48
297 Florida A&M 7.47
298 Florida Atlantic 7.47
299 McNeese St. 7.46
300 High Point 7.38
301 UC Riverside 7.38
302 Northern Arizona 7.36
303 Cal Poly 7.23
304 Prairie View A&M 7.18
305 Alcorn St. 7.18
306 Evansville 7.14
307 Idaho 6.85
308 Drexel 6.81
309 Maryland Eastern Shore 6.8
310 Chattanooga 6.78
311 Houston Baptist 6.7
312 Stetson 6.69
313 Eastern Illinois 6.64
314 Cleveland St. 6.53
315 Western Illinois 6.52
316 Bryant 6.39
317 North Carolina Central 6.35
318 Texas Rio Grande Valley 6.35
319 South Carolina St. 6.32
320 Southern 6.31
321 Virginia Military Inst 6.28
322 Norfolk St. 6.16
323 Sacred Heart 6.04
324 Incarnate Word 6.01
325 Albany 6
326 North Carolina A&T 5.96
327 Texas El Paso 5.84
328 Mercer 5.78
329 Oakland 5.71
330 Jackson St. 5.61
331 Savannah St. 5.58
332 New Hampshire 5.56
333 Maine 5.48
334 IUPUI 5.32
335 Mount St. Mary's 5.29
336 Wisconsin Milwaukee 5.24
337 Chicago St. 5.21
338 Mississippi Valley St. 5.1
339 Detroit 5.05
340 Morgan St. 5.01
341 Grambling 4.88
342 USC UpSt. 4.62
343 Alabama A&M 4.59
344 Presbyterian 4.45
345 SIU Edwardsville 4.43
346 Coppin St. 4.37
347 San Jose St. 3.96
348 Texas Arlington 3.86
349 Longwood 3.62
350 Kennesaw St. 3.6
351 Nicholls St. 2.68


Monday, June 04, 2018

St. John's Moves into Virtual Tie; Holt takes Providence to 4th in BE

Ratings at bottom updated June 8

The midnight announcement from Caleb and Cody Martin that they would stay enabled Nevada to hold off Duke for the top spot, but several other announcements were not made public until this weekend. We knocked several players off rosters at www.valueaddbasketball.com, lowering their numbers.

However, we also added six players who it turned out hard returned. Thanks to TAMU for spotting that we had incorrectly removed Nickeil Alexander-Walker from Virginia Tech and Kyle Alexander from Tennessee - so those two are moved back up from our last post.

Four other players worth at least 5 points per game each are back on their rosters at www.valueaddbasketball.com thus moving their teams up in the team rankings (which can always also be viewed at http://valueaddbasketball.com/ballteam.html, though we are still getting these four added back in so the list below is accurate).

Those four  are Kansas' Lagerald Vick (5.28, but Coach Self still needs to decide whether or not to take him back though they would rank 4th with or without him), UCLA's Cody Riley (5.00, one of the freshman arrested in UCLA but back this year), Washington State's Robert Franks (5.43) and most importantly St. John's Mustapha Heron.

A late note and good catch - back from sitting out Emmitt Holt boosts St. John's by 5.16 because he kicks out their 8th best player from the calculation, who was only a 0.79.

-->

Emmitt Holt6-foot-7SrProvidence5.95

Heron was a best here in Auburn, and in conference play was among the SEC leaders in eFG%, getting to the line, and hitting 83% once he got there as well as steals. He wants a waiver to play right away while moving closer to his mother, and if that is granted then St. John's moves into a virtual tie with Marquette for No. 2 in the Big East.

Updated this piece with a note - Providence moves to 32nd overall and makes it a fourth team pretty close together between 11th (Nova), Marquette and St. John's.

A late note and good catch - back from sitting out Emmitt Holt boosts St. John's by 5.16 because he kicks out their 8th best player from the calculation, who was only a 0.79.

The only cautionary note I throw in is that while I have received some edits from around the country on the google sheet, I have received more from MU fans, so likely some teams are further down just because I am missing a key player.

Rnk Big East Value Add v5.0 Pts/Game
11 Villanova 38.51
22 St. John's 33.25
23 Marquette 33.13
27 Providence 32.44
51 Butler 27.36
65 Xavier 24.57
71 Georgetown 23.11
77 Creighton 22.35
90 DePaul 21.15
97 Seton Hall 20.36
All the rest
1 Nevada 52.98
2 Duke 46.65
3 Kentucky 46.48
4 Kansas 44.54
5 Tennessee 42.01
6 Oregon 41.52
7 North Carolina 40.31
8 Mississippi St. 40.05
9 Louisiana St. 39.18
10 Auburn 38.66
12 Gonzaga 37.94
13 Syracuse 37.44
14 UCLA 36.17
15 North Carolina St. 35.07
16 Indiana 34.95
17 Virginia 34.62
18 Texas 34.28
19 Kansas St. 34.16
20 Michigan St. 33.63
21 Virginia Tech 33.49
24 Maryland 32.77
25 Florida 32.73
26 Iowa 32.49
28 Arizona St. 32.1
29 Alabama 32.09
30 San Diego St. 31.84
31 Clemson 31.56
32 Western Kentucky 31.45
33 Southern California 31.41
34 Miami FL 31.14
35 Texas Tech 31.06
36 Wisconsin 30.75
37 Texas Christian 30.41
38 Northwestern 30.03
39 Iowa St. 29.83
40 Washington 29.81
41 Northeastern 29.6
42 Nebraska 29.49
43 Notre Dame 29.38
44 Ohio St. 28.95
45 Florida St. 28.92
46 Montana 28.81
47 Michigan 28.48
48 West Virginia 28.29
49 Penn St. 28.22
50 Vanderbilt 27.44
52 Buffalo 27.27
53 Houston 26.98
54 Dayton 26.64
55 Loyola Chicago 26.34
56 Illinois 26.19
57 Connecticut 26.1
58 Boston College 25.76
59 Oklahoma 25.71
60 Minnesota 25.58
61 Wofford 24.98
62 Missouri 24.92
63 Mississippi 24.92
64 Georgia St. 24.6
66 Purdue 24.15
67 South Carolina 23.71
68 Memphis 23.63
69 Harvard 23.53
70 Ball St. 23.43
72 Brigham Young 23.01
73 Southern Methodist 22.86
74 North Carolina Greensboro 22.62
75 Lipscomb 22.4
76 Radford 22.37
78 North Texas 22.33
79 Utah 22.24
80 Arizona 22.14
81 Toledo 22.11
82 Oregon St. 21.99
83 Utah St. 21.77
84 Belmont 21.74
85 Rutgers 21.68
86 UC Irvine 21.47
87 Illinois St. 21.45
88 Rider 21.23
89 Liberty 21.18
91 Texas A&M 21.14
92 Cincinnati 21
93 Arkansas 20.93
94 UC Davis 20.88
95 Temple 20.71
96 San Diego 20.52
98 Oklahoma St. 20.29
99 Rhode Island 20.27
100 Wake Forest 20.23
101 Old Dominion 20.18
102 Marshall 20.13
103 Fresno St. 20.09
104 Stephen F. Austin 20.07
105 St. Bonaventure 19.93
106 New Mexico 19.87
107 Colorado 19.85
108 Indiana St. 19.8
109 Nevada Las Vegas 19.72
110 Jacksonville St. 19.67
111 Baylor 19.6
112 Princeton 19.59
113 Southern Illinois 19.46
114 Georgia 19.42
115 Davidson 19.41
116 Northern Iowa 19.2
117 Eastern Michigan 19.11
118 Georgia Tech 18.71
119 South Alabama 18.71
120 Akron 18.61
121 Furman 18.59
122 Hofstra 18.59
123 Cal St. Fullerton 18.55
124 St. Francis PA 18.45
125 Yale 18.34
126 College of Charleston Southern 18.26
127 Virginia Commonwealth 18.2
128 Vermont 18.15
129 San Francisco 18.07
130 Stanford 18.07
131 Valparaiso 18.07
132 Boise St. 18.03
133 Middle Tennessee 17.91
134 St. Louis 17.85
135 Canisius 17.82
136 Wichita St. 17.78
137 Louisville 17.74
138 St. Joseph's 17.63
139 Idaho St. 17.56
140 South Dakota St. 17.56
141 Central Florida 17.52
142 Northern Colorado 17.51
143 St. Mary's 17.46
144 Murray St. 17.44
145 South Dakota 17.39
146 Southern Mississippi 17.36
147 Massachusetts 17.23
148 Austin Peay 17.21
149 Lehigh 17.11
150 Richmond 17.11
151 Iona 17.1
152 Loyola Marymount 16.8
153 Bradley 16.78
154 George Mason 16.77
155 Tulsa 16.73
156 Columbia 16.65
157 Seattle 16.59
158 North Florida 16.54
159 Delaware 16.49
160 Denver 16.45
161 William & Mary 16.45
162 Duquesne 16.42
163 Eastern Washington 16.42
164 Pacific 16.41
165 Washington St. 16.36
166 Utah Valley 16.33
167 Louisiana Lafayette 16.29
168 Northern Illinois 16.24
169 UAB 16.24
170 Texas San Antonio 16.23
171 Grand Canyon 16.17
172 North Carolina Wilmington 16.16
173 Cornell 16.1
174 James Madison 16.07
175 Northern Kentucky 16.06
176 Pepperdine 16.06
177 Kent St. 16.05
178 Central Michigan 15.98
179 Winthrop 15.9
180 Pennsylvania 15.89
181 IUPU Fort Wayne 15.65
182 New Mexico St. 15.58
183 NJ Inst of Technology 15.48
184 UC Santa Barbara 15.28
185 Wright St. 15.26
186 Georgia Southern 15.11
187 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.93
188 Tulane 14.8
189 Hartford 14.75
190 Texas Southern 14.62
191 Troy 14.52
192 Weber St. 14.48
193 Illinois Chicago 14.23
194 La Salle 14.22
195 Cal St. Bakersfield 14.12
196 Ohio 13.99
197 Colgate 13.88
198 Louisiana Tech 13.82
199 California 13.76
200 Long Beach St. 13.6
201 Monmouth 13.5
202 Tennessee Martin 13.37
203 St. Peter's 13.3
204 Florida Gulf Coast 13.22
205 Boston University 13.05
206 Hampton 12.96
207 Miami OH 12.96
208 Western Michigan 12.78
209 North Dakota St. 12.72
210 George Washington 12.69
211 Florida International 12.47
212 Appalachian St. 12.45
213 Coastal Carolina 12.43
214 Campbell 12.31
215 Charleston Southern 12.13
216 Howard 12.05
217 Hawaii 11.94
218 Long Island Brooklyn 11.93
219 Alabama St. 11.92
220 Colorado St. 11.9
221 Elon 11.89
222 Lamar 11.85
223 North Dakota 11.82
224 Air Force 11.69
225 Pittsburgh 11.68
226 Bowling Green 11.62
227 Southeast Missouri St. 11.52
228 Sam Houston St. 11.48
229 Fairfield 11.2
230 Missouri St. 11.14
231 Maryland Baltimore Co 11.1
232 Army 11.05
233 Montana St. 11.04
234 Fordham 11.02
235 Manhattan 11.02
236 Nebraska Omaha 11.02
237 Wyoming 10.89
238 Wagner 10.88
239 Gardner Webb 10.81
240 Oral Roberts 10.77
241 Charlotte 10.71
242 Quinnipiac 10.7
243 Louisiana Monroe 10.61
244 Santa Clara 10.6
245 Drake 10.59
246 Jacksonville 10.58
247 Brown 10.54
248 Eastern Kentucky 10.46
249 Samford 10.41
250 Texas St. 10.29
251 Niagara 10.28
252 American 10.19
253 New Orleans 10.19
254 Bucknell 10.11
255 Dartmouth 10.01
256 Binghamton 9.97
257 Western Carolina 9.85
258 Holy Cross 9.68
259 Portland St. 9.54
260 Robert Morris 9.49
261 Loyola MD 9.46
262 The Citadel 9.46
263 Abilene Christian 9.45
264 South Florida 9.41
265 Texas A&M Corpus Christi 9.27
266 Towson 9.19
267 St. Francis NY 9.14
268 Central Connecticut 9.07
269 Wisconsin Green Bay 8.97
270 East Tennessee St. 8.84
271 Siena 8.84
272 Central Arkansas 8.82
273 Bethune Cookman 8.8
274 Navy 8.7
275 Sacramento St. 8.7
276 North Carolina Asheville 8.68
277 UMass Lowell 8.64
278 Arkansas Little Rock 8.6
279 Lafayette 8.5
280 Stony Brook 8.49
281 Southern Utah 8.45
282 Tennessee Tech 8.38
283 Southeastern Louisiana 8.33
284 Northwestern St. 8.28
285 Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.25
286 Marist 8.23
287 Arkansas St. 8.11
288 Maryland Kings Co 8.02
289 East Carolina 8.01
290 Delaware St. 7.88
291 Morehead St. 7.88
292 Tennessee St. 7.78
293 Rice 7.75
294 Portland 7.67
295 Cal St. Northridge 7.57
296 Youngstown St. 7.48
297 Florida A&M 7.47
298 Florida Atlantic 7.47
299 McNeese St. 7.46
300 High Point 7.38
301 UC Riverside 7.38
302 Northern Arizona 7.36
303 Cal Poly 7.23
304 Prairie View A&M 7.18
305 Alcorn St. 7.18
306 Evansville 7.14
307 Idaho 6.85
308 Drexel 6.81
309 Maryland Eastern Shore 6.8
310 Chattanooga 6.78
311 Houston Baptist 6.7
312 Stetson 6.69
313 Eastern Illinois 6.64
314 Cleveland St. 6.53
315 Western Illinois 6.52
316 Bryant 6.39
317 North Carolina Central 6.35
318 Texas Rio Grande Valley 6.35
319 South Carolina St. 6.32
320 Southern 6.31
321 Virginia Military Inst 6.28
322 Norfolk St. 6.16
323 Sacred Heart 6.04
324 Incarnate Word 6.01
325 Albany 6
326 North Carolina A&T 5.96
327 Texas El Paso 5.84
328 Mercer 5.78
329 Oakland 5.71
330 Jackson St. 5.61
331 Savannah St. 5.58
332 New Hampshire 5.56
333 Maine 5.48
334 IUPUI 5.32
335 Mount St. Mary's 5.29
336 Wisconsin Milwaukee 5.24
337 Chicago St. 5.21
338 Mississippi Valley St. 5.1
339 Detroit 5.05
340 Morgan St. 5.01
341 Grambling 4.88
342 USC UpSt. 4.62
343 Alabama A&M 4.59
344 Presbyterian 4.45
345 SIU Edwardsville 4.43
346 Coppin St. 4.37
347 San Jose St. 3.96
348 Texas Arlington 3.86
349 Longwood 3.62
350 Kennesaw St. 3.6
351 Nicholls St. 2.68

Thursday, May 31, 2018

Wade's Ex-Teammate LeBron Passes Jordan for GOAT; 11:33 p.m. Tweet Makes Nevada No. 1

What a 24 hours for basketball! But before we run through why LeBron James (who will always be tied to our Dwyane Wade) takes the court tonight at Golden State having passed Michael Jordan as the most valuable player of all time, let's talk about what happened just before the midnight deadline for players to return to their colleges rather than stay eligible for the NBA draft in three weeks ...

At 11:33 p.m. ET last night, Cody Martin tweeted that he would return to Nevada, and at 11:34 his twin Caleb Martin confirmed he would stay as well - beating the Midnight deadline for players to leave the NBA draft t return to school. Kentucky, Villanova, Tennessee, Maryland and Virginia Tech were not so lucky, losing players to drop in the www.valueaddbasketball.com top 25.
  
However, Kentucky's replacement players were so good that they actually remained the No. 3 team in the nation. Duke passed them for No. 2, but Villanova fell from No. 2 to No. 10 - with Kansas rounding out the projected Final Four. Here is the top 25 with notes on teams that lost players to the NBA once and for all at Midnight.
  
Team   Top 8 Value Add
1.   Nevada   52.98 – Cody and Caleb Martin announced return at 11:33 pm to keep them at No. 1 with 52.98 combined Value Add.
2.   Duke   46.65
3.   Kentucky   stayed in third despite 241st Vanderbilt (5.17) & 272nd Gabriel (4.93) dropping but being replaced by almost as good 9th and 10th men (8.22 combined Value Add) as Villanova dropped further and Duke moved ahead of Kentucky’s 45.33
4.   Kansas   42.26
5.   Oregon   41.52
6.   North Carolina   40.31
7.   Mississippi St.   40.05
8.   Louisiana St.   39.18
9.   Auburn   38.66
10.   Villanova   dropped from 2nd after 25th ranked Spellman (8.01 Value Add) & 32nd DiVincenzo, (7.84) both left and replacements are a combined 6.85 to lower team from 47.51 to 38.51
11.   Gonzaga   37.94
12.   Tennessee   dropped from 6th after Alexander, 5.89 left and with (1.25 replacement) lowered from 42.01 to 37.37
13.   Syracuse   37.44
14.   North Carolina St.   35.07
15.   Indiana   34.95
16.   Virginia   34.62
17.   Texas   34.28
18.   UCLA   34.26
19.   Kansas St.   34.16
20.   Michigan St.   33.63
21.   Marquette   33.13
22.   Maryland   39.36 – dropped from 9th after 33rd ranked Huerter (7.82) left and only a 1.23 replacement to lower from 39.36 to 32.77
23.   Florida   32.73
24.   Iowa   32.49
25.   Arizona St.   32.1 (moved from 26th to 25th due to Virginia Tech dropping out)
Dropped Out - Virginia Tech   33.49 – dropped from 21st to 33rd after 381th ranked Alexander-Walker (4.25 Value Add) left with only 1.32 replacement Value Add to drop from 33.49 to 30.85
  
... now back to the inconvenient truth that LeBron James takes the court tonight as the GOAT, at least if that means the most valuable player in the history of basketball. Now that all of my friends in North Carolina and Chicago have stopped reading, let's walk through this.
  
As Golden State opens as a double digit favorite in the opener of the NBA Finals, Michael Jordan fans are likely to still be able to cling to their one argument for his superiority over LeBron James - six championships.
  
This ignores the fact that Jordan was one of THREE Hall of Famers playing at HOF levels (one of those years all three were in the top 15 in MVP voting) for the 4th, 5th and 6th championship. Further, that argument leaves Jordan behind Robert Horry (7 titles), as well as legitimate contenders for the greatest of all-time in Kareem Abdul-Jabbar.
  
In this his 15th season, LeBron James was more than twice as valuable as Jordan was in his 15th and final season, and during the season passed Jordan in career Win Shares (the only way to truly compare players from different eras and to balance the impact on a great team or bad team).
  
In fact, in his five seasons without Hall of Famer Scottie Pippen on the court with him, Jordan never even had a winning season, averaging just 30 wins and 52 losses. Jordan apologists complained when James went to Miami to likewise team up with a future Hall of Fame Player in Marquette's Dwyane Wade - but James did not need a Hall of Fame teammate to make his teams awesome - averaging a 51-31 record in the years before and after he and Wade teamed up.
  
So when they had to carry their teams without the help of another Hall of Fame player, James’ teams were 21 wins better than Jordan's teams, even though he inherited a worse team.
  
It is also fair to note that while Pippen finished 5th, 7th and 9th in MVP voting three of his years with Jordan, and in one year Dennis Rodman gave Jordan TWO teammates in the top 15 in voting - only one season has LeBron ever had a top 9 teammate (Wade 7th, as his best play was prior to James' arrival). In short, Jordan never produced nearly the same results as James EXCEPT when he had Hall of Fame support far superior to the poor cast James dragged to the NBA Finals some of his years.
  
The three years before Jordan arrived in Chicago, the Bulls averaged a 36-46 record. Jordan played three seasons before another Hall of Fame player arrived, and during his three years before adding Pippen Jordan's teams averaged the identical 36-46 record. Jordan scored a lot - but his team was no better with him until another Hall of Famer came along.
  
Compare this to the transformation of the Cavs after James’ arrival.  For an apples to apples over three years, they averaged 25-67 in the 3 years prior to James arrival (11 games worse than the pre-Jordan Bulls), yet in their first three years with James the averaged 42-40 for a 17 average improvement in wins to ZERO for Jordan.
  
Jordan did not lead his team to a winning record until he was 25 and Pippen had arrived - but by age 25 James finished his seventh season having taken his Cavs to an average mark of 50-32 before leaving to Miami to team up with a player almost at Pippen’s level in Wade.
  
The difference continued throughout their careers. In the years before or after James and Jordan left and arrived, James’ teams averaged being 22 games better with him than without him and Jordan's teams did not improve at all until an extra Hall of Famer was added to the roster.
  
The dreadful Cavs improved 18 games as soon as the teenager James took the court. When he went from the Cavs to the Heat the Cavs lost 42 more games and the Heat won 11 more games. When he went back to the Cavs they won 20 more games and the Heat lost 17 more, for an average of 22 more wins a season with than without James.



Season
LeBron arriving or departing
W
L
Before and After
2003-04
Cleveland Cavaliers
35
47
18
2009-10
Cleveland Cavaliers
61
21
42
2010-11
Miami Heat
58
24
11
2013-14
Miami Heat
54
28
17
2014-15
Cleveland Cavaliers
53
29
20
Teams 22 games better w/LeBron
22


Contrast this with the amazing lack of difference Jordan’s departures and returns made. When he arrived from UNC the Bulls actually won one FEWER games to finish 27-55, and as noted did not improve them one game over his first three years. When he took the 1993-94 season off the Bulls were only two games worse. 

James critics will note that Jordan then came back for only part of the 1994-95 season, but he was there for the entire playoffs and the team did just as well as they did the year before without him - a loss in the Conference Semifinals. The next year they had a monster year - but remember that was only after adding a THIRD Hall of Fame Player in Dennis Rodman to the them.
  
And then Jordan played his final two seasons with the Wizards’ - his 14th and 15th seasons, but unlike James’ 14th and 15th seasons he was simply not very good, getting a couple of MVP mentions the first year and then having a nice farewell tour. The Wizards’ were 10 games worse when he arrived, and just as good the year after he left.
  

That means the only time a team was more than two games better the year after or before Jordan left was after the 1997-98 season - WHEN ALL THREE HALL OF FAME PLAYERS LEFT AT ONCE.


Season
Jordan arriving or departing
W
L
Before and After
1983-84
Chicago Bulls
27
55
-1
1992-93
Chicago Bulls
57
25
2
1994-95
Chicago Bulls
47
35
-8
1997-98
Chicago Bulls***
62
20
41
2000-01
Washington Wizards
19
63
-10
2001-02
Washington Wizards
37
45
0
Teams 4 games better w/Jordan
4


*** because of the 1998-99 strike, the Bulls record is projected with 21 wins

Jordan was an incredible leader of teams with other Hall of Fame players, and he knew how to close when his teammates were superior to all the opponents they would face. I will even grant that his three best seasons may have been slightly better than any of James' seasons.
  
However, James’ ability to take teams that should not be in the playoffs all the way to the NBA Finals time and time again is a much dramatic than Jordan’s ability to make sure his Hall of Fame teammates did not blow championships.
  
James passed Jordan and he is still playing strong.
  
Unless you want to argue that Horry is greater than Jordan because of the extra championship, it is time to admit there is a new all time King.