"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Saturday, June 30, 2018

After feedback from 100+ Athletic Departments, Here Are the Updated Ratings

One fear in the offseason Value Add team rankings is that Big East teams would rate too high because the MUScoop community does an even better job of pointing out missing players from our teams than from others. 

To that end, my secret weapon Molly Pudner, a data and information whiz, contacted all 351 D1 basketball Athletic Departments this month and received updates from more than 100 regarding their rosters. These are now all reflected in the google sheet, and hopefully will soon be current on www.valueaddbasketball.com. Molly (who also did my big data projects in my campaign days and whose brother did all the research for my Marquette book before going on to program cell towers across the country) also picked up on some things I had missed - such as Jay Bilas excellent rating of the best on-ball defenders (see subhead The Bilastrator's 30 best in-your-grill defenders). On-ball defense is the biggest item that Value Add cannot end, Ever since I watched Dominic Wright (then Dominic James) play lock down in your grill defense to force what registered as steals for other MU players I wished their was a way to get a separate evaluation of on-ball defense - so maybe I will do something with it.

The good news is that even with a ton of updates that moved some other teams around, the Big East teams were only passed by a few other teams. In fact, one non-Big East Athletic Director pointed out a transfer to Butler that we did not have in the system which help Butler right on the bubble at 51st. (like many of you, I actually was able to focus more on baseball the last few weeks while Molly collected the data, and had two baseball preview posts reach 80,000+ https://www.facebook.com/valueaddsports/)

Here are the updated team rankings, and neither St. John's or Marquette changed since the June 8 update, with St. John's maintaining the smallest edge of 0.12 points for the 2nd place in the Big East. Here are all the Big East teams and the Top 50.


RankTeamValue AddBig East Changes
11Villanova38.51Same spot
23St. John's33.25dropped 1 spot
24Marquette33.13dropped 1 spot
29Providence32.44Dropped 2 spots
51Butler27.6Same spot
67Xavier24.57Dropped 2 spots
73Georgetown23.11Dropped 2 spots
81Creighton22.35dropped 4 spots
94DePaul21.15dropped 4 spots
103Seton Hall20.36dropped 6 spots
1Nevada51.85
2Duke46.65
3Kentucky45.33
4Kansas42.29
5Oregon41.52
6Tennessee40.6
7North Carolina40.31
8Mississippi St.40.05
9LSU39.18
10Auburn38.66
12Gonzaga37.94
13Syracuse37.44
14UCLA36.17
15Miami FL35.60
16South Dakota St.35.12
17North Carolina St.35.07
18Indiana34.95
19Virginia34.62
20Texas34.28
21Michigan St.33.63
22Virginia Tech33.49
25Montana32.93
26Maryland32.77
27Florida32.73
28Iowa32.49
30Kansas St.32.39
31Arizona St.32.1
32Alabama32.09
33San Diego St.31.84
34Clemson31.56
35USC31.41
36Wisconsin30.75
37TCU30.21
38Iowa St.29.83
39Washington29.81
40Northeastern29.61
41Nebraska29.49
42Notre Dame29.38
43Northwestern29.3
44Western Kentucky29.22
45Texas Tech29.21
46Ohio St.28.95
47Michigan28.48
48West Virginia28.29
49Florida St.28.25
50Penn St.28.22

No comments: