"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Monday, April 16, 2018

Updating Team Projections after NBA agents: Creighton up to #29 UPDATED KANSAS #5


Villanova still ranks 3rd in the country despite losing Mikal Bridges and Jalen Brunson to NBA agents and would have the top Big East squad even if Omari Spellman and Donte DiVincenzo join them.

Access the national story above by clicking here, and the Cracked Story list of all 351 team projections with a list of potential NBA players still included in that projection. For example, the total of Villanova's current players and open roster spots is 55.60 based on the cumulative of their 2019 player projections at www.valueaddbasketball.com (google sheet version here), but we note on the table that Donte DiVincenzo's 7.84 and Omari Spellman's 4.96 is included.

DiVincenzo, Spellman's and other prospects who have not signed agents but based on my reading of CBS Sports guru Reid Forgrave and others are legit prospects. I did list Haanif Cheatham for Florida Gulf Coast just because of the Marquette connection, but really I wouldn't normally list a player who does not seem to have a legit shot this year).

Keep in mind these are not anticipated FINAL projections. Blue chip programs with opportunity to play will certainly get blue chip recruits and transfers to shoot up - and as I've noted Marquette's signing of Sr. Graduate point guard Joseph Chartouny (best returning defensive guard in country) or Joe Cremo (3rd best overall available player in country behind only two 5-star freshman) gives Marquette a legit Sweet 16 squad.

The other Big East team that shot back up in the calculation is Creighton due to the news report that Khyri Thomas has not signed an agent. Thomas would be a top 30 player according to www.valueaddbasketball.com projections if he were to return, and that would make Creighton's current roster 28th.

Do recall that if you spot any inaccuracies or outdated data at the Value Add site you can make a note in column a here and it will be corrected and updated.

The Big East at this snapshot with their national rankings are; 3) Villanova, 26) Marquette, 29) Creighton, 36) Providence, 40) Xavier, 49) St. John's, 53) Butler, 87) Georgetown, 125) DePaul, 151) Seton Hall. Every time a team signs a new recruit, JUCO or graduated senior, that player's value will be added to their total (currently all those potential players are in the database and google sheet are listed with the team "available." until they sign. (the four teams in bold had updates based on catches by readers in the google sheet. The only one that moved a team was Kansas, who with the addition of Dedric Lawson (inadvertent omission after sitting out last season) they jumped from 27th to 5th)


RnkTeamProject Value AddNo agent, but could be drafted by NBA
1Kentucky59.16Sacha Killeya-Jones transfer a wash because should get 2.22 back when they fill spot; possible NBA Washington 5.65, Vanderbilt 5.17, Gabriel 4.93
2Auburn56.21Austin Wiley 6.0
3Villanova55.6DiVincenzo 7.84, Spellman 4.96
4Duke54.23
5Kansas51.38up 22 spots - 12th best player Dedric Lawson was missing as transfer - pot. NBA Azubuike 7.03
6Oregon50.92lost Kavell Bigby-Williams 4.60
7UNC48.78
8Tennessee48.39Schofield 6.98, Alexander 5.89
9Nevada48.2add transfers Corey Henson (6.78), Jazz Johnson (5.81), but must drop from 15-man rosters; NBA possible Co. Martin 7.85, Ca. Martin 7.51, Caroline 7.01
10Gonzaga45.99Tillie 7.55, Hachimura 5.62
11Mississippi St.45.85Holman 7.58, Q. Weatherspoon 6.93, N. Weatherspoon 5.12, Peters 2.28
12Maryland45.7Huerter 7.82, Fernando 6.20
13Virginia45.64Hunter 6.55
14Syracuse45.5Battle 7.70 , Brissett 7.69
15UCLA45.23Hands 5.19, Wilkes 4.91
16LSU44.15
17North Carolina St.42.67
18Ohio St.41.95Bates-Diop 10.66
19Virginia Tech41.52Alexander-Walker 4.25
20Michigan St.41.44Ward 6.64
21Alabama40.85Hall 7.70, Petty 4.96, Jones 2.48
22Miami FL40.48Huell 6.53
23Florida39.94Hudson 6.61
24USC39.67
25Texas39.4Roach 5.03
26Montana39.13
27Marquette39.02
28Kansas St.38.52Brown 5.84
29Creighton38.5Thomas 8.03
30Florida St.38.19
31Arizona St.38.02
32Iowa36.88Cook 4.97, Moss 3.42
33TCU36.75
34Northeastern36.74
35Boston College36.4Robinson 8.53, Bowman 6.14
36Providence36.27
37Notre Dame36.15
38Iowa St.35.92Wigginton 3.83
39Indiana35.64
40Xavier35.32
41BYU35.28
42Michigan35.08
43San Diego St.34.93McDaniels 8.02
44Fresno St.34.9Taylor 5.63
45Texas Tech34.9Smith 8.87
46Northwestern34.84
47Davidson34.81
48Houston34.69
49St. John's34.62Ponds 7.81
50Washington34.33
51Wake Forest34.32
52Vanderbilt34.12
53Butler34.11
54West Virginia33.86Konate 7.29
55South Dakota St.33.84
56Purdue33.66Edwards 8.94
57Clemson33.44Reed 8.01, Mitchell 5.20
58Texas A&M33.32Davis 8.43, Hogg 5.54
59Loyola Chicago32.73
60Nebraska32.25Palmer 7.08, Copeland 6.69
61Mississippi31.81Davis 3.78
62Missouri31.67J. Porter 6.93
63Arizona31.5
64Penn St.31.31Reaves 7.19
65Baylor31.07
66Dayton30.75Antetokoumpo 3.77
67Oklahoma St.30.49
68Stanford30.24
69SMU29.93Milton 6.09, Foster 3.70
70Marshall29.69Elmore 7.79
71Minnesota29.58
72Buffalo29.39
73Oklahoma29.16
74Cincinnati29.06
75UNC Greensboro29.04
76San Diego28.97
77Georgia Tech28.44Okogie 6.56
78Wisconsin28.21Happ 8.76
79Georgia St.28.05Simonds 4.57
80New Mexico28.01
81Rhode Island27.97
82Belmont27.91
83Arkansas27.89
84Wofford27.71Magee 6.97
85Temple27.69
86Louisville27.56
87Georgetown27.55
88St. Bonaventure27.31
89Connecticut27.06
90Northern Kentucky27.03
91Illinois26.98
92Murray St.26.88
93Lipscomb26.81
94Rider26.39
95UC Davis26.36
96Louisiana Lafayette26.34
97Richmond26.3
98Toledo26.27
99Oregon St.26.25
100Northern Iowa26.18
101Ball St.26.14
102Liberty26.13
103Furman26.12
104Southern Illinois26.04
105North Texas25.99
106Northern Colorado25.99
107Akron25.72
108South Carolina25.71
109Georgia Southern25.61
110Memphis25.59
111Saint Mary's25.43
112Georgia25.36
113Saint Louis25.36
114Middle Tennessee25.35
115Canisius25.12
116Fort Wayne24.99
117Rutgers24.91
118New Mexico St.24.89
119Jacksonville St.24.87
120Hofstra24.74Wright-Foreman 6.35
121Saint Joseph's24.7
122Harvard24.68
123Utah St.24.62
124South Dakota24.45
125DePaul24.41
126Old Dominion24.4
127Tulsa24.39
128Eastern Michigan24.33
129Colorado24.21
130Radford24.21
131UC Irvine24.15
132UCF24.01
133Vermont24.01
134Illinois St.23.91
135Stephen F. Austin23.82
136Cornell23.79Morgan 6.47
137Tulane23.78Frazier 6.35
138Valparaiso23.48
139Pacific23.36
140Weber St.23.31
141Utah Valley23.3
142Western Kentucky23.23
143Southern Miss23.2
144Idaho St.23.11
145UTSA23
146Austin Peay22.71
147St. Francis PA22.71
148Campbell22.68Clemons 5.66
149Wright St.22.57
150College of Charleston22.48
151Seton Hall22.48
152Iona22.45
153William & Mary22.38
154Eastern Washington22.35
155Ohio22.31
156Bradley22.29
157Massachusetts22.1
158Central Michigan22.09
159Winthrop22.09
160Indiana St.22.01
161Cal St. Fullerton21.97
162Southeast Missouri St.21.68
163Yale21.65
164San Francisco21.22
165UAB21.1
166Columbia21.08
167Illinois Chicago21.08
168Towson20.98
169Princeton20.97
170James Madison20.83
171Northern Illinois20.8German 5.87
172Missouri St.20.7
173Grand Canyon20.64
174Loyola Marymount20.61
175UNLV20.6
176Pepperdine20.5
177VCU20.36
178Wyoming20.36James 5.42
179Charleston Southern20.35
180East Tennessee St.20.29
181Penn20.28
182Hartford20.05
183Kent St.20.04
184Lehigh19.94
185UT Arlington19.76
186Evansville19.7
187La Salle19.61
188North Florida19.5
189Louisiana Tech19.46
190UNC Asheville19.45
191Florida Gulf Coast19.37
192Western Michigan19.28
193South Alabama19.23
194Wichita St.19.21
195George Mason19.13
196Troy19.13
197Colorado St.19.1
198NJIT18.96
199Seattle18.82
200Duquesne18.59
201Louisiana Monroe18.53
202Texas Southern18.5
203Coastal Carolina18.38
204UNC Wilmington18.2
205Portland St.18.18
206Southeastern Louisiana18.17
207Milwaukee18.1
208Colgate17.97
209Lamar17.9
210Utah17.9
211Washington St.17.84Franks 5.43
212Montana St.17.82
213Miami OH17.76
214Monmouth17.61
215Wagner17.48
216Idaho17.24
217Drexel17.21
218FIU17.17
219Fairleigh Dickinson17.1
220North Dakota17.1
221Bowling Green17.07Wiggins 3.67
222California17.01
223Nebraska Omaha16.9
224Elon16.89
225Saint Peter's16.86
226UC Santa Barbara16.66
227Delaware16.47
228Boston University16.45
229Hawaii16.43
230Eastern Kentucky16.38
231Niagara16.28
232Robert Morris16.28
233Boise St.16.25
234LIU Brooklyn16.25
235Texas St.16.11
236Denver16.1
237Tennessee St.16.07
238Nicholls St.15.98
239Sam Houston St.15.84
240Albany15.58
241Air Force15.56
242Appalachian St.15.51
243UMBC15.48
244Fairfield15.4
245North Dakota St.15.29
246Stony Brook15.27
247Oral Roberts15.25
248Hampton15.23
249Oakland15.09
250High Point15.07
251Drake14.96
252Cal St. Bakersfield14.93
253Long Beach St.14.9
254George Washington14.87
255Navy14.6
256Brown14.54
257Army14.48
258Manhattan14.38
259Binghamton14.29
260Quinnipiac13.93
261Howard13.92
262Fordham13.79
263Jacksonville13.78
264New Orleans13.76
265Mercer13.75
266Mount St. Mary's13.68
267Charlotte13.55White 3.34, Davis 2.24
268Bucknell13.53
269Eastern Illinois13.43
270Chattanooga13.35
271Detroit13.25Chatman 4.70
272Santa Clara13.15
273Central Arkansas13
274The Citadel12.92
275Abilene Christian12.88
276Morehead St.12.8
277Holy Cross12.77
278Gardner Webb12.7
279St. Francis NY12.68
280Western Carolina12.62
281Tennessee Martin12.53
282Southern Utah12.45
283Alabama St.12.42
284Dartmouth12.32
285Sacramento St.12.32
286American12.29
287Bethune Cookman12.26
288Texas A&M Corpus Chris12.16
289Portland12.12
290Little Rock12.08
291Prairie View A&M12.08
292Tennessee Tech11.83
293Central Connecticut11.81
294Siena11.81
295Green Bay11.8
296North Carolina Central11.78
297McNeese St.11.7
298Lafayette11.68
299UMass Lowell11.55
300South Florida11.51
301UTEP11.45
302Sacred Heart11.18
303Marist11.12
304Samford11.09
305North Carolina A&T11.07
306Loyola MD10.86
307IUPUI10.76
308Pittsburgh10.74
309Arkansas St.10.73
310New Hampshire10.72
311Youngstown St.10.63
312Norfolk St.10.56
313UMKC10.48
314Western Illinois10.47
315Arkansas Pine Bluff10.44
316Southern10.41
317Rice10.36
318Cal Poly10.28
319Stetson10.19
320Northwestern St.9.89
321East Carolina9.87
322Northern Arizona9.86
323Savannah St.9.79
324Cal St. Northridge9.61
325UC Riverside9.52
326UT Rio Grande Valley9.44
327Cleveland St.9.28
328Florida Atlantic9.02
329Florida A&M9.01
330Houston Baptist9
331Maryland Eastern Shore8.96
332Delaware St.8.7
333VMI8.63
334Kennesaw St.8.52
335Maine7.96
336Grambling St.7.92
337South Carolina St.7.68
338SIU Edwardsville7.5
339Morgan St.7.39
340Incarnate Word7.36
341San Jose St.7.26
342Presbyterian7.21
343Jackson St.7.19
344USC Upstate7.07
345Bryant6.99
346Chicago St.6.51
347Mississippi Valley St.6.41
348Alcorn St.5.54
349Longwood5.16
350Coppin St.5.15
351Alabama A&M4.8

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