"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Sunday, April 01, 2018

Every Conference Tournament Result: Big East Ranks 5th Despite Nova Title Hope

While the Big East seeks a second National Title in three years, the conference had a slightly disappointing tournament with some near misses - finishing almost even with the Big Ten but behind the ACC, SEC and Big 12 in overall play.

After the season I match each conferences #1 team against the #1 team in the other 31 conferences, then the #2 team against the other #2s etc. to get a composite record for each conference from top to bottom. The "winner" is determined as the team that had the better tournament with teams getting a credit for 1.0 for each line in March Madness, 0.4 for each NIT line (yes, NIT Champ Penn State gets more credit than a team that won one NCAA game), and less for each CBI or CIT line.

Obviously, a team like Maryland that did not go to a tournament is better than CBI and CIT teams, which only invite Mid-Majors, but this really doesn't matter in scoring because as the 7th place team in the Big Ten they "win" all their match-ups with smaller conferences 7th best teams. If teams are tied in their tournament success or neither on went to a tournament, then the team's www.kenpom.com ratings determine the "winner."

Marquette gets 1.2 credit for being on three NIT lines, which puts them slightly ahead of Providence and Creighton with a 1.0 for making the NCAA tournament but not winning a game. That gives Marquette the 5th best tournament success in the Big East, and when matched up against the 5th most successful teams from the other conferences they go 28-3 with losses only to UNC of the ACC, Ohio State of the Big Ten and Auburn of the SEC.

That is part of a composite 267-33 projected "record" for a .890 winning percentage that ranks behind only the ACC (327-10, .970), Big 12 (282-18, .940), SEC (314-23, .932) and just behind the Big Ten (301-36, .893). Here is the breakdown and tournament history for every team by conference.

Atlantic 10 (9th Place)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Rhode Island 7vs. all #12290.710NCAA252
St. Bonaventure 11vs. all #22470.774NCAA1.568
Davidson 12vs. all #32470.774NCAA144
Saint Joseph'svs. all #413180.419117
VCUvs. all #515160.484144
Saint Louisvs. all #620110.645148
La Sallevs. all #720110.645156
Daytonvs. all #821100.677172
Richmondvs. all #91980.704181
George Washingtonvs. all #101780.680192
Duquesnevs. all #111040.714201
Massachusettsvs. all #12930.750207
George Masonvs. all #13330.500220
Fordhamvs. all #14230.400292
2191180.650
ACC (1st)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Duke 2vs. all #12740.871NCAA43
Florida St. 9vs. all #23010.968NCAA427
Clemson 5vs. all #33010.968NCAA314
Syracuse 11vs. all #43010.968NCAA341
North Carolina 2vs. all #53101.000NCAA28
Louisvillevs. all #63010.968NIT1.238
Virginia 1vs. all #73010.968NCAA12
Virginia Tech 8vs. all #83101.000NCAA133
Miami FL 6vs. all #92701.000NCAA136
North Carolina St. 9vs. all #102501.000NCAA146
Notre Damevs. all #111401.000NIT0.835
Boston Collegevs. all #121201.000NIT0.477
Wake Forestvs. all #13601.00089
Georgia Techvs. all #14410.800119
Pittsburghvs. all #15000.000227
327100.970
American East (25th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
UMBC 16vs. all #118130.581NCAA2166
Vermontvs. all #211200.355NIT0.475
Hartfordvs. all #38230.258CIT0.2215
Albanyvs. all #49220.290151
Stony Brookvs. all #56250.194223
New Hampshirevs. all #64270.129278
UMass Lowellvs. all #75260.161287
Binghamtonvs. all #89220.290297
Mainevs. all #93240.111332
732020.265
American (8th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Cincinnati 2vs. all #12380.742NCAA24
Houston 6vs. all #22650.839NCAA218
Wichita St. 4vs. all #32560.806NCAA120
Templevs. all #42290.710NIT0.487
SMUvs. all #521100.67785
Tulsavs. all #62290.710110
UCFvs. all #72380.742111
Memphisvs. all #82290.710161
Tulanevs. all #92070.741171
Connecticutvs. all #101870.720179
South Floridavs. all #11770.500279
East Carolinavs. all #12480.333307
233930.715
Atlantic Sun (30th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Lipscomb 15vs. all #14270.129NCAA1167
Florida Gulf Coastvs. all #210210.323NIT0.4127
NJITvs. all #31300.032254
North Floridavs. all #42290.065282
Kennesaw St.vs. all #52290.065309
Stetsonvs. all #62290.065314
Jacksonvillevs. all #72290.065320
USC Upstatevs. all #82290.065338
252230.101
Big Ten (4th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Michigan 3vs. all #13010.968NCAA67
Purdue 2vs. all #22920.935NCAA35
Penn St.vs. all #32920.935NIT2.419
Michigan St. 3vs. all #42920.935NCAA26
Ohio St. 5vs. all #53010.968NCAA216
Nebraskavs. all #62650.839NIT0.454
Marylandvs. all #72560.80639
Wisconsinvs. all #82740.87170
Indianavs. all #92430.88971
Northwesternvs. all #102320.92084
Iowavs. all #111220.85788
Illinoisvs. all #121020.833102
Minnesotavs. all #13420.667116
Rutgersvs. all #14320.600130
301360.893
Big 12 (2nd)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Kansas 1vs. all #12920.935NCAA59
Texas Tech 3vs. all #23101.000ncaa411
Kansas St. 9vs. all #33101.000NCAA442
West Virginia 5vs. all #43101.000ncaa312
Oklahoma St.vs. all #52740.871NIT1.259
TCU 6vs. all #62920.935NCAA124
Texas 10vs. all #72920.935NCAA137
Oklahoma 10vs. all #82920.935NCAA148
Baylorvs. all #92520.926NIT0.834
Iowa St.vs. all #102140.840103
282180.940
Big East (5th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Villanova 1vs. all #13101.000NCAA61
Xavier 1vs. all #22740.871NCAA215
Butler 10vs. all #32740.871NCAA222
Seton Hall 8vs. all #42740.871NCAA226
Marquettevs. all #52830.903NIT1.255
Creighton 8vs. all #62830.903NCAA130
Providence 10vs. all #72830.903NCAA164
St. John'svs. all #82650.83976
Georgetownvs. all #92340.85295
DePaulvs. all #102230.880100
267330.890
Big Sky (15th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Northern Coloradovs. all #117140.548CIT1.2104
Montana 14vs. all #220110.645NCAA172
Portland St.vs. all #314170.452CIT0.4164
Eastern Washingtonvs. all #419120.613CBI0.3136
Idahovs. all #516150.516126
Weber St.vs. all #619120.613159
Idaho St.vs. all #716150.516226
North Dakotavs. all #816150.516239
Southern Utahvs. all #913140.481251
Montana St.vs. all #1011140.440270
Sacramento St.vs. all #11590.357285
Northern Arizonavs. all #122100.167327
1681580.515
Big South (20th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Radford 16vs. all #13280.097NCAA1170
Libertyvs. all #217140.548CIT0.8183
Campbellvs. all #321100.677CBI0.8218
UNC Ashevillevs. all #421100.677NIT0.4187
Winthropvs. all #513180.419160
High Pointvs. all #610210.323241
Charleston Southernvs. all #713180.419246
Gardner Webbvs. all #813180.419261
Presbyterianvs. all #92250.074334
Longwoodvs. all #103220.120340
1161840.387
Big West (26th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Cal St. Fullerton 15vs. all #15260.161NCAA1162
UC Davisvs. all #29220.290NIT0.4129
UC Santa Barbaravs. all #35260.161123
UC Irvinevs. all #410210.323147
Long Beach St.vs. all #510210.323191
Hawaiivs. all #615160.484200
UC Riversidevs. all #711200.355267
Cal Polyvs. all #84270.129325
Cal St. Northridgevs. all #94230.148330
732020.265
Colonial Athletic (21st)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
College of Charleston 13vs. all #19220.290NCAA1115
Northeasternvs. all #21300.03296
Towsonvs. all #34270.129153
Hofstravs. all #48230.258157
William & Maryvs. all #512190.387169
James Madisonvs. all #612190.387229
UNC Wilmingtonvs. all #714170.452245
Delawarevs. all #815160.484247
Elonvs. all #914130.519248
Drexelvs. all #1012130.480252
1011990.337
Conference USA (7th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Marshall 13vs. all #119120.613NCAA2105
Western Kentuckyvs. all #22560.806NIT1.647
North Texasvs. all #32650.839CBI1.2146
Middle Tennesseevs. all #42560.806NIT0.845
UTSAvs. all #52560.806CIT0.6174
Old Dominionvs. all #62470.77463
UABvs. all #72470.774109
Louisiana Techvs. all #82380.742149
Southern Missvs. all #91890.667206
FIUvs. all #101690.640222
Florida Atlanticvs. all #11950.643233
UTEPvs. all #12840.667240
Ricevs. all #13240.333289
Charlottevs. all #14140.200308
245920.727
Horizon League (23rd)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Wright St. 14vs. all #17240.226NCAA1133
Illinois Chicagovs. all #219120.613CIT1182
Northern Kentuckyvs. all #317140.548NIT0.490
Oaklandvs. all #47240.226175
Milwaukeevs. all #59220.290196
Green Bayvs. all #68230.258263
IUPUIvs. all #76250.194284
Cleveland St.vs. all #87240.226300
Detroitvs. all #96210.222319
Youngstown St.vs. all #106190.240322
922080.307
Ivy League (27th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Penn 16vs. all #18230.258NCAA1125
Harvardvs. all #28230.258NIT0.4141
Princetonvs. all #33280.097190
Yalevs. all #45260.161197
Columbiavs. all #55260.161231
Cornellvs. all #66250.194265
Brownvs. all #710210.323268
Dartmouthvs. all #88230.258299
531950.214
Metro Atlantic (18th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Iona 15vs. all #16250.194NCAA1138
Ridervs. all #27240.226NIT0.4145
Niagaravs. all #313180.419CIT0.4205
Canisiusvs. all #420110.645CBI0.3131
Monmouthvs. all #511200.355184
Fairfieldvs. all #614170.452212
Manhattanvs. all #717140.548216
Saint Peter'svs. all #817140.548217
Quinnipiacvs. all #910170.370280
Sienavs. all #108170.320303
Maristvs. all #112120.143321
1251890.398
Mid American (13th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Buffalo 13vs. all #120110.645NCAA267
Central Michiganvs. all #213180.419CIT0.6168
Eastern Michiganvs. all #316150.516CIT0.4143
Miami OHvs. all #418130.581CBI0.3194
Toledovs. all #518130.581113
Ball St.vs. all #618130.581173
Western Michiganvs. all #719120.613188
Ohiovs. all #819120.613193
Kent St.vs. all #917100.630211
Bowling Greenvs. all #1014110.560232
Northern Illinoisvs. all #11860.571249
Akronvs. all #12660.500255
1861400.571
Mid-Eastern (31st)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
North Carolina Central 16vs. all #10310.000NCAA0.5316
Hamptonvs. all #24270.129NIT0.4250
North Carolina A&Tvs. all #37240.226CIT0.2306
Bethune Cookmanvs. all #41300.032288
Norfolk St.vs. all #51300.032312
Savannah St.vs. all #61300.032317
Morgan St.vs. all #71300.032324
Howardvs. all #83280.097335
Florida A&Mvs. all #91260.037341
South Carolina St.vs. all #102230.080343
Coppin St.vs. all #110140.000347
Maryland Eastern Shorevs. all #120120.000349
Delaware St.vs. all #13060.000350
213110.063
Missouri Valley (12th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Loyola Chicago 11vs. all #12830.903NCAA531
Drakevs. all #26250.194CIT0.4155
Missouri St.vs. all #36250.194120
Northern Iowavs. all #412190.387122
Bradleyvs. all #517140.548124
Evansvillevs. all #621100.677134
Southern Illinoisvs. all #721100.677135
Indiana St.vs. all #82560.806137
Illinois St.vs. all #92160.778140
Valparaisovs. all #101960.760150
1761240.587
Mountain West (10th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Nevada 7vs. all #12470.774NCAA325
San Diego St. 11vs. all #221100.677NCAA150
Boise St.vs. all #318130.581NIT0.461
Fresno St.vs. all #416150.51679
New Mexicovs. all #519120.613106
UNLVvs. all #62380.742107
Wyomingvs. all #72290.710118
Utah St.vs. all #82470.774139
Colorado St.vs. all #915120.556224
Air Forcevs. all #1013120.520237
San Jose St.vs. all #113110.214301
1981160.631
Northeast (29th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
LIU Brooklyn 16vs. all #11300.032NCAA0.5259
Wagnervs. all #25260.161NIT0.4180
St. Francis PAvs. all #312190.387CIT0.4214
Mount St. Mary'svs. all #43280.097238
Robert Morrisvs. all #54270.129253
Fairleigh Dickinsonvs. all #65260.161274
Sacred Heartvs. all #73280.097305
Central Connecticutvs. all #85260.161310
St. Francis NYvs. all #98190.296313
Bryantvs. all #101240.040344
472530.157
Ohio Valley (17th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Murray St. 12vs. all #115160.484NCAA162
Jacksonville St.vs. all #218130.581CBI0.8142
Austin Peayvs. all #320110.645CIT0.6189
Belmontvs. all #415160.48483
Tennessee St.vs. all #58230.258198
Tennessee Techvs. all #613180.419219
Southeast Missouri St.vs. all #712190.387256
Eastern Illinoisvs. all #814170.452257
Morehead St.vs. all #911160.407273
Eastern Kentuckyvs. all #109160.360286
Tennessee Martinvs. all #114100.286294
SIU Edwardsvillevs. all #12390.250318
1421840.436
Pac-12 (6th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Utahvs. all #121100.677NIT258
Arizona 4vs. all #22290.710NCAA128
Arizona St. 11vs. all #32380.742NCAA149
UCLA 11vs. all #42650.839NCAA156
USCvs. all #52650.839NIT0.851
Oregonvs. all #62740.871NIT0.874
Stanfordvs. all #72740.871NIT0.886
Washingtonvs. all #82830.903NIT0.898
Oregon St.vs. all #92250.81599
Coloradovs. all #102050.800114
Washington St.vs. all #111130.786186
Californiavs. all #12750.583244
260660.798
Patriot (28th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Bucknell 14vs. all #112190.387NCAA197
Colgatevs. all #22290.065CBI0.3202
Navyvs. all #32290.065225
Lehighvs. all #44270.129236
Boston Universityvs. all #53280.097258
Armyvs. all #67240.226264
Lafayettevs. all #79220.290275
Holy Crossvs. all #811200.355290
Loyola MDvs. all #95220.185323
Americanvs. all #105200.200328
602400.200
Sun Belt (16th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Georgia St. 15vs. all #111200.355NCAA1101
Louisiana Lafayettevs. all #212190.387NIT0.469
Louisiana Monroevs. all #311200.355CIT0.4230
UT Arlingtonvs. all #411200.355128
Georgia Southernvs. all #514170.452152
Troyvs. all #617140.548177
Appalachian St.vs. all #718130.581208
Coastal Carolinavs. all #818130.581209
South Alabamavs. all #916110.593221
Texas St.vs. all #1015100.600228
Arkansas St.vs. all #11680.429281
Little Rockvs. all #12570.417296
1541720.472
Southern (22nd)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
UNC Greensboro 13vs. all #113180.419NCAA182
Mercervs. all #214170.452CBI0.6154
Woffordvs. all #315160.484CIT0.4163
East Tennessee St.vs. all #414170.45293
Furmanvs. all #520110.64594
Samfordvs. all #63280.097298
Western Carolinavs. all #74270.129302
Chattanoogavs. all #86250.194304
The Citadelvs. all #97200.259315
VMIvs. all #104210.160331
1002000.333
Southeastern (3rd)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Kentucky 5vs. all #12560.806NCAA317
Texas A&M 7vs. all #22830.903ncaa329
Tennessee 3vs. all #32830.903NCAA213
Florida 6vs. all #42830.903NCAA221
Auburn 4vs. all #52920.935NCAA223
Alabama 9vs. all #63101.000NCAA257
Mississippi St.vs. all #73101.000NIT1.653
Missouri 8vs. all #83010.968NCAA140
Arkansas 7vs. all #92610.963NCAA143
LSUvs. all #102410.960NIT0.866
Georgiavs. all #111310.92965
South Carolinavs. all #121110.91780
Vanderbiltvs. all #13510.83391
Mississippivs. all #14501.000108
314230.932
Southland (14th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Stephen F. Austin 14vs. all #110210.323NCAA1112
Sam Houston St.vs. all #216150.516CIT0.8204
Central Arkansasvs. all #319120.613CBI0.6213
New Orleansvs. all #42380.742CBI0.6266
Southeastern Louisianavs. all #52380.742NIT0.4199
Lamarvs. all #62560.806CIT0.4203
Abilene Christianvs. all #72650.839CIT0.2262
Nicholls St.vs. all #820110.645185
McNeese St.vs. all #99180.333291
Texas A&M Corpus Chrisvs. all #107180.280311
Houston Baptistvs. all #111130.071333
Incarnate Wordvs. all #121110.083342
Northwestern St.vs. all #13150.167345
1811510.545
Summit (24th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
South Dakota St. 12vs. all #114170.452NCAA178
South Dakotavs. all #23280.097CBI0.381
Fort Waynevs. all #39220.290CIT0.2165
North Dakota St.vs. all #46250.194176
Denvervs. all #57240.226210
Oral Robertsvs. all #611200.355235
Nebraska Omahavs. all #77240.226283
Western Illinoisvs. all #810210.323293
671810.270
Southwestern Athletic (32nd)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Texas Southern 16vs. all #12290.065ncaa1243
Prairie View A&Mvs. all #20310.000269
Grambling St.vs. all #30310.000295
Southernvs. all #40310.000326
Arkansas Pine Bluffvs. all #50310.000329
Alcorn St.vs. all #60310.000336
Jackson St.vs. all #70310.000337
Alabama St.vs. all #81300.032339
Mississippi Valley St.vs. all #90270.000348
Alabama A&Mvs. all #100250.000351
32970.010
Western Athletic (19th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
New Mexico St. 12vs. all #116150.516NCAA160
Utah Valleyvs. all #215160.484CBI0.692
Grand Canyonvs. all #310210.323CBI0.3121
Seattlevs. all #417140.548CBI0.3195
UT Rio Grande Valleyvs. all #52290.710CBI0.3260
Cal St. Bakersfieldvs. all #69220.290242
UMKCvs. all #78230.258276
Chicago St.vs. all #80310.000346
971510.391
West Coast (11th)RankWLW%TourLinesKenPom
Gonzaga 4vs. all #12650.839NCAA310
Saint Mary'svs. all #22380.742NIT1.232
San Franciscovs. all #32290.710CBI1158
San Diegovs. all #42470.774CIT0.6132
BYUvs. all #52470.774NIT0.473
Pacificvs. all #616150.516178
Loyola Marymountvs. all #715160.484234
Pepperdinevs. all #812190.387271
Portlandvs. all #912150.444272
Santa Claravs. all #1010150.400277
1841160.613

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