"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Cremo's Visit to Nova Could Insure Nova top BE Spot of Marquette in Updated Value Add Projections

Joe Cremo's visit to Villanova could be good for the conference if not for Marquette's chances to win a Big East title. While the defending National Champions have an 18-point lead in projected Value Add over Marquette for the top spot in the Big East, that could be cut to less than four points if both Omari Spellman (8.01) and Donte DiVincenzo (7.84) leave for the NBA. Adding Cremo's 7.06 (65th best-projected player) widens the gap. (www.valueaddbasketball.com will be updated in a week, but for now, the updates on the bottom of this post are only in the google sheet).

As much as I'd love the best shot possible to win the Big East one of these years, the fact that Villanova lets the Big East claim two of the last three national championships seems more important for the overall resume, Value Add projects five NCAA bids with St. John's the third team out and Butler the sixth team out.

Georgetown's signing of Omer Yurtseven (7.04 rating after transferring from NC State) would make the Hoya's a tournament team if he did not need to sit out a year. The other big pickups calculated in the 2020 column below are St. John's David Caraher (3.32) and Eli Wright (2.5), DePaul's Darious Hall (2.08) and of course Koby McEwen (2.36).

RnkChangeTeam By Conference2019 Roster2020 DeferNCAASeed1st Opponent
21Villanova57.26auto bid1Vermont-Howard winner
26-1Marquette39.172.36at-large7Notre Dame
340Providence36.36at-large9Kansas St.
478Xavier34.07at-large12.5Iowa St. then Virginia Tech
52-2St. John's32.915.823rd out
56-2Butler32.250.76th out
120-6Seton Hall24.39

And here are the most significant pickups.

PlayerRnkProjected Value2019 TEAMUpdates after 4/27
Romeo Langford/Crystal Ball228.2Indianacrystal shifted Kansas to Indiana
Joe Cremo #24657.06Available"visits to Kansas and Villanova http://www.kansascity.com/sports/college/big-12/university-of-kansas/article210214699.html https://www.vuhoops.com/2018/4/30/17301418/villanova-basketball-recruiting-joe-cremo-transfer-visit
Dru Smith/2020896.78Missourisigned with Missouri
Wendell Mitchell1136.5Texas A&MTexas A&M signing
Charles Jones Jr1146.5Utahupgraded due to JUCO POY
Jordan Brown/Crystal Ball1506.1Nevadacrystal ball says Nevada
Matt Mooney #13/could stay1546.06South Dakotahttps://twitter.com/moonswag13?lang=en still might stay South Dakota
Kavell Bigby-Williams 353264.606LSUdid sign LSU last year, not clear if issues with dismissed charges at Oregon
Justin Coleman4.16Arizonacorrected his projection to 4.16, signed april
Trey McGowens/crystal ball2.7Pittsburghcrystal ball
Trace Ramey/crystal ball2.6Texascrystal ball
Uros Plavsic2.6Cleveland St.upgrade rating to 2.6
Isaac Likekele/crystal ball2.26Texas Techswitched from Fresno
Brison Gresham 55/20201.85Houstonhttps://247sports.com/college/massachusetts/Bolt/REPORT-Jarreau-Gresham-set-to-join-Houston-Cougars-in-2018-19-105348099
Emmitt Matthews Jr/Crystal Ball1.6West Virginiacrystal ball
Dejon Jarreau 3/20201.57Houstonleaving but JUCO in between https://247sports.com/college/massachusetts/Bolt/REPORT-Jarreau-Gresham-set-to-join-Houston-Cougars-in-2018-19-105348099
Robert Braswell/Crystal Ball1.52Syracusecrystal ball
Lukas Kisunas/Crystal Ball1.35Stanfordshifted Arizona to Stanford
Bryce Golden/Crystal Ball1.28Syracuseshifted Syracuse to Butler
Xavier Johnson/crystal ball1.02Pittsburghswitched from Nebraska
Majur Majak/crystal ball0.82St. Peter'scrystal ball
Neftali Alvarez/crystal ball0.7Florida Gulf Coastcrystal ball
Maurice Calloo/Crystal Ball0.65Oklahoma St.crystal ball shifted Illinois to Oklahoma St.
Amir Harris/crystal ball0.47Nebraskacrystal ball
Mike Wynn/crystal ball0.44Mississippishifted from East Carolina to Mississippi
Junior Farquhar/Crystal Ball0.05SMUcrystal ball


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