"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Top 2016 Teams/Players: Colonial Athletic ASSOCIATION (Ranked 19)

We hope Marquette can pick up one of the top available players from our rankings here. Tonight we run through the competition - ranking all the conferences competing with the Big East for bids, and ranking both their teams and top 40 players. 

One place where analytics disagrees with conventional wisdom is in the case of William and Mary's Terry Tarpey, who we measure as one of the most valuable players in the country even though he was not considered the best player on the team by many observers. No great teams this year, but plenty of very good players.

Natl RnkConferenceTeamRecordRawValue Add
19Colonial Athletic ASSOCIATIONCAA12.60
126William & Mary20--1315.2316.92
176UNC Wilmington18--1413.4614.51
193James Madison19--1413.0813.25
236Delaware10--20 11.1710.82
256Drexel11--19 8.939.67
276College of Charleston9--24 8.638.52
297Towson12--20 5.497.35
Natl RnkTop 40 PlayersTeamHtYrValue Add
7Tarpey, Terry 25William & Mary6'54 Sr9.24
235Green, Juan'ya 1Hofstra6'24 Sr4.9
306Corbett, Chivarsky 0Delaware6'72 So4.46
400Bryant, Elijah 33Elon6'42 So3.98
458Walker, David 4Northeastern6'64 Sr3.75
560Prewitt, Omar 4William &Mary6'63 Jr3.33
588Talley, Jordon 4UNC Wilmington6'02 So3.23
622Samson, Tanner 3Elon6'44 Sr3.12
683Curry, Ron 2James Madison6'44 Sr2.96
717McLean, Joey 4James Madison6'02 So2.89
805Eddy, Luke 1Elon6'03 Jr2.65
812Tanksley, Ameen 2Hofstra6'54 Sr2.64
945Dalembert, Yohanny 40James Madison6'83 Jr2.36
1028Overton, Miles 20Drexel6'43 Jr2.2
1054Barry, Canyon 24College of Charleston6'63 Jr2.17
1076Thompson, Dmitri 2Elon6'42 So2.14
1134Bernardi, Brian 14Hofstra6'23 Jr2.04
1156King-Davis, Marvin 21Delaware6'74 Sr2.01
1187Ford, Quincy 12Northeastern6'84 Sr1.99
1210Ponder, Craig 0UNC Wilmington6'14 Sr1.96
1284Gustys, Rokas 4Hofstra6'92 So1.84
1314Begley, Devon 20Northeastern6'42 So1.8
1358Hayes, Cazmon 22Delaware6'43 Jr1.74
1364Gettys, C.J. 23UNC Wilmington7'03 Jr1.74
1408Gilmore, Donovan 0College of Charleston6'72 So1.68
1427Bailey, Evan 11College of Charleston6'62 So1.64
1428Bah, Mohamed 15Drexel6'93 Jr1.64
1446Mosley, Anthony 3Delaware6'02 So1.62
1453Kent, Jackson 10James Madison6'73 Jr1.61
1459Chealey, Joe 13College of Charleston6'33 Jr1.6
1475Davis, John 10Towson6'53 Jr1.59
1495Stahl, Zach 33Northeastern6'53 Jr1.57
1499Mojica, Sammy 2Drexel6'32 So1.56
1522Pugh, Malik 14UNC Wilmington6'12 So1.54
1555Sheldon, Sean 31William & Mary6'94 Sr1.51
1636Sherwood, Dylan 20UNC Wilmington6'94 Sr1.4
1648Grays, Winston 3James Madison6'24 Sr1.38
1672Morsell, Mike 23Towson6'52 So1.35
1676Hairston, Christian 12Elon6'73 Jr1.34
1724Williams, T.J. 10Northeastern6'33 Jr1.28
These are the top 40 players in the conference based on the rankings at www.valueaddbasketball.com. The team rankings are 50% based on the sum of each team’s Value Add ratings and 50% based on last year (since better teams typically replenish after losing stars). With over 4000 players projected in the database, we WELCOME all corrections in the comments field.

Value Add was first introduced on www.crackedsidewalks.com, and calculates how many points better each player is worth to his team over how good they would be if he was replaced. The projections measure the standard improvement in a player between his freshman, sophomore, junior and senior seasons, and the evaluation of incoming freshman and JUCO players.

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