"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Lee & Miller Would Improve MU from 72nd to 14th Best in Country

Last year the Value Add projections painted a pretty bleak picture for Marquette that unfortunately played out. I did make reference pre-season to the first losing season since the early 1990s. The good news is Marquette seems to stack up pretty well in the Big East now that I’ve run the projections for all 4000+ players for next year except JUCO players:

Big East Projected Value Add 2016
  1. Villanova, 46.76
  2. Xavier, 32.20
  3. Seton Hall, 27.87
  4. Marquette, 23.61
  5. Georgetown, 21.91
  6. DePaul, 20.46
  7. Butler, 18.94
  8. Creighton, 17.08
  9. Providence, 15.27
  10. St. John's, 13.63

The bad news is that the MU is partly higher because the Big East does not have nearly the Projected Value Add it did going into last season. In fact, if Damion Lee were to come to make our dreams come true and come to Marquette, I actually have him projected as the best player in the conference.

If we really wanted to dream big, Shonn Miller would rank as the 12th best player in the conference based on projected Value Add. If we somehow landed them both, MU would come in at 37 points in projected Value Add, moving MU from 72nd to 14th in the country. Obviously the chance of landing two top seniors who could take the court immediately – when at this stage we are still up against four or five other teams on their final list – is long.

I know it may sound hard to believe that Damion Lee could really be a top 50 player last year at Value Add when the team almost matched Marquette’s record. But to give you a sense, the Drexel team is the only team I can find who has ever had a top 50 player and NO OTHER PLAYER IN THE TOP 1500 PLAYERS IN THE COUNTRY.

The following shows the projected national rank of each Big East player, and the two incredible wish list senior transfers who could take the court right away if they come to Marquette. And YES, your corrections are welcome, I had to run 4100 players so sorry for any mistakes that need cleanup!

Top Big East Players – With two possible MU transfers included
22 - Lee, Damion 14 - AZ,Lville,Gonz,Marq,MD - 8.13
30 - Ochefu, Daniel 23 - Villanova - 7.82
31 - Hart, Josh 3 - Villanova - 7.78
59 - Diallo, Cheick - St. John's? - 6.93
68 - Delgado, Angel 31 - Seton Hall - 6.69
90 - Gibbs, Sterling 4 - Seton Hall - 6.20
109 - Arcidiacono, Ryan 15 - Villanova - 5.91
113 - Bluiett, Trevon 5 - Xavier - 5.88
115 - Booth, Phil 5 - Villanova - 5.86
116 - Reynolds, Jalen 1 - Xavier - 5.84
137 - Dunham, Kellen 24 - Butler - 5.64
138 - Miller, Shonn - CT,IL,BC,Mich,Marq,Cal - 5.60
161 - Wilson, Duane 1 - Marquette - 5.27
166 - Brunson, Jalen - Villanova - 5.22
173 - Ennis, Dylan 31 - Villanova - 5.14
175 - Davis, Myles 15 - Xavier - 5.14
187 - Ellenson, Henry - Marquette - 5.04
220 - Rodriguez, Desi 20 - Seton Hall - 4.79
261 - Garrett, Billy 5 - DePaul - 4.48
265 - Jenkins, Kris 2 - Villanova - 4.47
312 - Whitehead, Isaiah 15 - Seton Hall - 4.20
318 - Copeland, Isaac 11 - Georgetown - 4.16
341 - Campbell, Tre 1 - Georgetown - 4.02
347 - White, Paul 13 - Georgetown - 3.98
357 - Hegner, Toby 32 - Creighton - 3.94
361 - Carrington, Khadeen 0 - Seton Hall - 3.92
423 - Chrabascz, Andrew 45 - Butler - 3.63
433 - Fischer, Luke 40 - Marquette - 3.56
504 - Abell, Remy 10 - Xavier - 3.29
506 - Zierden, Isaiah 21 - Creighton - 3.29
571 - Macura, J.P. 55 - Xavier - 3.05
581 - Peak, L.J. 0 - Georgetown - 3.01
593 - Jones, Roosevelt 21 - Butler - 2.97
630 - Henry, Myke 4 - DePaul - 2.90
637 - Johnson, JaJuan 23 - Marquette - 2.87
670 - Govan, Jessie - Georgetown - 2.77
697 - Patton, Justin - Creighton - 2.69
707 - Lindsey, Jalen 21 - Providence - 2.67
721 - Milliken, James 23 - Creighton - 2.63
765 - McDonald, Durrell 25 - DePaul - 2.55
774 - Cohen, Sandy 5 - Marquette - 2.53
779 - Chukwu, Paschal 13 - Providence - 2.50
819 - Hamilton, Tommy 2 - DePaul - 2.42
850 - Bentil, Ben 0 - Providence - 2.36
860 - Cheatham, Haanif - Marquette - 2.35
918 - Cartwright, Kyron 24 - Providence - 2.22
1000 - Derrickson, Marcus - Georgetown - 2.10
1067 - Walton, K.J. - Xavier - 1.98
1088 - Owens, Alex - Providence - 1.95
1118 - Divincenzo, Donte - Villanova - 1.89
1141 - Gates, Kaiser - Xavier - 1.86
1148 - Farr, James 2 - Xavier - 1.85
1315 - Austin, Larry 0 - Xavier - 1.64
1448 - Sumner, Edmond 4 - Xavier - 1.47
1515 - Wideman, Tyler 4 - Butler - 1.37
1571 - Groselle, Geoffrey 41 - Creighton - 1.30
1578 - Hanel, Joe 33 - DePaul - 1.29
1596 - Martin, Kelan 30 - Butler - 1.27
1615 - Alibegovic, Amar 14 - St. John's - 1.25
1648 - Simpson, Aaron 15 - DePaul - 1.20
1652 - Bennett, Steven 25 - Butler - 1.19
1662 - Stimage, Rashaun 3 - DePaul - 1.19
1834 - Lowe, Henry 0 - Villanova - 1.00
1921 - McDermott, Sean - Butler - 1.00
1922 - Fowler, Nate - Butler - 1.00
1932 - Thomas, Khyri - Creighton - 1.00
1933 - Stewart, Marlon - Creighton - 1.00
1934 - Krampelj, Martin - Creighton - 1.00
1939 - Phillips, Develle - DePaul - 1.00
1940 - Doby, Raymond - DePaul - 1.00
1941 - Cain, Elijah - DePaul - 1.00
1949 - Johnson, Kaleb - Georgetown - 1.00
1984 - Heldt, Matt - Marquette - 1.00
1985 - Anim, Sacar - Marquette - 1.00
2029 - Fazekas, Ryan - Providence - 1.00
2030 - Edwards, Drew - Providence - 1.00
2031 - Council, Ricky - Providence - 1.00
2042 - Singh, Amarveer - Seton Hall - 1.00
2043 - Carter, Myles - Seton Hall - 1.00
2052 - Williams, Darien - St. John's - 1.00
2053 - Sima, Yankuba - St. John's - 1.00
2054 - Doughty, Samir - St. John's - 1.00
2055 - Barnes-Thompkins, Sammy - St. John's - 1.00
2089 - Delaney, Tim - Villanova - 1.00
2184 - Curington, R.J. 0 - DePaul - 0.92
2235 - Davis, Jackson 13 - Butler - 0.87
2400 - Allen, David 12 - Georgetown - 0.66
2411 - Balamou, Felix 24 - St. John's - 0.65
2468 - Fortune, Josh - Providence - 0.57
2532 - Barry, Oumar - DePaul - 0.50
2552 - Reynolds, Darryl 14 - Villanova - 0.48
2652 - Stewart, Myles 2 - St. John's - 0.32
2720 - Hanson, Zach 40 - Creighton - 0.24
2729 - Jones, Christian 4 - St. John's - 0.22
2738 - Hayes, Bradley 42 - Georgetown - 0.21
2752 - O'Mara, Sean 54 - Xavier - 0.20
2777 - Farrell, Patrick 20 - Villanova - 0.18
2800 - DeLa Rosa, Joey 34 - St. John's - 0.15
2849 - DeLa Rosa, Adonis 31 - St. John's - 0.10
2865 - Sanogo, Ismael 14 - Seton Hall - 0.08

 - Savage, Kethan 11 - Butler 2017 - 3.95 (red shirt transfer)
 - Owens, Tariq 11 - St. John's 2017 - 0.06 (red shirt transfer)
 - Brown, Elijah - Butler - 0.00
 - Oginni, Mogboluwaga 50 - Creighton - 0.00
 - Connealy, Gabriel 2 - Creighton - 0.00
 - Clement, Tyler 11 - Creighton - 0.00
 - Wood, Darrick 1 - DePaul - 0.00
 - Cameron, Reggie 5 - Georgetown - 0.00
 - Agau, Akoy - Georgetown - 0.00
 - Ellenson, Wally - Marquette - 0.00
 - Carter, Traci - Marquette - 0.00
 - Lomomba, Junior 32 - Providence - 0.00
 - Anthony, Rashed 25 - Seton Hall - 0.00
 - Ajou, Chier 42 - Seton Hall - 0.00

 - De La Rosa, Joey 34 - St. John's - 0.00

No comments: